Jacksonville State (2-3) vs New Mexico State (1-4)
Game Info: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 7:30 pm (AmFirst Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Jacksonville State -20.5 / New Mexico State +20.5 — Over/Under: 54.5
The New Mexico State Aggies and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks meet Wednesday in college football action from Burgess-Snow Field. Here’s a New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State pick. We will examine:
The New Mexico State Aggies’ recent form and player performance
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico State Aggies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Recent betting trends in games played between New Mexico State and Jacksonville State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State game
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
The Aggies were able to take out Southeast Missouri State 23-16 in their opener this year but then hit the skids with a series of losses. New Mexico State fell to Liberty 30-24, Fresno State 48-0, and Sam Houston 31-11 over the next three games.
In their latest outing September 28 versus New Mexico, the Aggies recorded another loss. New Mexico State was down 21-10 by halftime and never recovered in a 50-40 result. QB Santino Marucci finished with 189 yards and a score. Larenzo McMillan led the rush on an 84-yard TD run.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Preview
Over on the Jacksonville State side, they lost their first three games of the season. The Gamecocks fell to Coastal Carolina 55-27, Louisville 49-14, and Eastern Michigan 37-34 (OT). Jacksonville State finally got into the win column the next weekend versus Southern Miss 44-7.
In last Friday’s game versus Kennesaw State, Jacksonville State was able to keep it going with another victory. The Gamecocks scored 42 second-half points during a 63-24 blowout win. Tyler Huff led the rush with 176 yards and three scores, while Tre Stewart added 134 yards and four touchdowns.
Why the Jacksonville State Gamecocks will win
- New Mexico State has lost each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Jacksonville State has won each of its last three games in October.
- New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Jacksonville State has covered the spread in each of its last three October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- New Mexico State has won each of its last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico State has covered the spread in each of its last six October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Six of New Mexico State’s last seven games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Jacksonville State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Jacksonville State ranks T127th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (12.6).
- Jacksonville State ranks 120th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (34.4).
- New Mexico State ranks 128th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (233.2).
- New Mexico State ranks 127th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.8).
New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State Prediction
I’m staying with Jacksonville State. The Gamecocks had the running game working well versus a struggling Kennesaw State team last week, notching 384 yards on the ground, 7.4 yards per play, 31 first downs, and 7-of-12 on third-down tries. Jacksonville State had four takeaways on the other side and gave up just 270 yards.
As for New Mexico State, they ran the ball well against New Mexico (285 yards) in their last outing, however, they gave up 331 rushing yards on the other side. This one’s probably going to be run-heavy as well, and I like Jacksonville State better in that regard.