Nevada (1-5) vs New Mexico (3-3)
October 18, 2025 at 09:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New Mexico -12 — Over/Under: +49
In this article we will formulate a Nevada vs New Mexico prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 18th at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 8 matchup.
Nevada also has losses against Fresno State, Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee, and Penn State, but did get their lone win against Sacramento State. The Wolf Pack have lost four games in a row and they are second to last in the Mountain West standings. Nevada has scored 16.5 points per game with 152.0 passing yards and 157.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.7 points against per game this season. Carter Jones has thrown for 316 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Caleb Ramseur has rushed for 271 yards on 56 carries this year.
New Mexico also has losses against San Jose State and Michigan, but got wins against New Mexico State, UCLA, and Idaho State. The Lobos have lost two games in a row and they are at the bottom of the Mountain West standings. New Mexico has scored 29.2 points per game with 232.3 passing yards and 136.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.0 points against per game this season. Jack Layne has thrown for 1,277 yards, eight touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Keagan Johnson has 31 receptions for 364 yards and two scores this season.
New Mexico has won four of its last five home games.
Nevada has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
The favorite has covered the spread in each of New Mexico’s last three games.
Four of Nevada’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Mexico is one of only 11 FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals this season.
Nevada ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.0).
Nevada ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.7).
David Racey is 70-48 (59%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 1-5 (0-2) this year after they lost to San Diego State by a score of 44-10 last week. Nevada allowed the first 44 points in the game and never had a chance, but did score 10 in the fourth to avoid the shutout. The Wolf Pack were out gained by a total of 409-254, went 4-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Carter Jones went 15-31 for 195 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Caleb Ramseur rushed eight times for 35 yards. Jett Carpenter led the receivers with three catches for 72 yards in the loss. The Nevada defense recorded two sacks and six tackles for loss in the game.Nevada also has losses against Fresno State, Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee, and Penn State, but did get their lone win against Sacramento State. The Wolf Pack have lost four games in a row and they are second to last in the Mountain West standings. Nevada has scored 16.5 points per game with 152.0 passing yards and 157.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.7 points against per game this season. Carter Jones has thrown for 316 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Caleb Ramseur has rushed for 271 yards on 56 carries this year.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos are 3-3 (0-2) this season after they lost to Boise State by a score of 41-25 in their last game. New Mexico trailed 17-14 at halftime and they allowed 21 points in the fourth quarter to let the game get away. The Lobos were out gained by a total of 397-231, went 4-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 3-0 in the game. Jack Layne went 7-17 for 115 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Damon Bankston rushed nine times for 18 yards. Dorian Thomas led the receivers with four receptions for 61 yards and one score in the loss. The UNM defense recorded four sacks and 11 tackles for loss in the game.New Mexico also has losses against San Jose State and Michigan, but got wins against New Mexico State, UCLA, and Idaho State. The Lobos have lost two games in a row and they are at the bottom of the Mountain West standings. New Mexico has scored 29.2 points per game with 232.3 passing yards and 136.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.0 points against per game this season. Jack Layne has thrown for 1,277 yards, eight touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Keagan Johnson has 31 receptions for 364 yards and two scores this season.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
Nevada has lost each of its last eight road games.New Mexico has won four of its last five home games.
Nevada has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
The favorite has covered the spread in each of New Mexico’s last three games.
Total Points Facts
Each of New Mexico’s last six October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.Four of Nevada’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
New Mexico ranks 126th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (265.3).New Mexico is one of only 11 FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals this season.
Nevada ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.0).
Nevada ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.7).
Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction
Nevada comes into this contest looking to snap their four game losing streak, but their offense has been brutal, scoring 17 points or fewer in all four games. New Mexico has dropped two games in a row and while their offense has been solid, their defense has allowed 41 and 35 points in those two losses. New Mexico is the much better team in this matchup and I don’t think Nevada can take advantage of their defensive issues. Take the Lobos to cover here.David Racey is 70-48 (59%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!