Nevada (1-3) vs Fresno State (4-1)
October 4, 2025 at 10:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State -14 — Over/Under: +44.5
In this article, we will formulate a Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction for this College Football Week 6 game on Saturday, October 4th at the Valley Children’s Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Offensively, the Bulldogs average 32.8 points per game, which ranks 52nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 20.0 points per game, which is 47th. Fresno State averages 373.8 total yards per game, with 176.2 rushing yards and 197.6 passing yards per game. They allow 320.6 total yards per game, with 106.2 rushing and 214.4 passing yards per game.
E.J. Warner leads the Bulldogs with 946 passing yards and 73.2% completed passes. Bryson Donelson leads the team in rushing yards, with 343, while Josiah Freeman has a team-high 14 caught passes for 171 receiving yards. Defensively, Jadon Pearson has a team-high 42 total tackles, 26 of them solo. Finn Claypool leads the Bulldogs in sacks, with 2.5, while K’Vion Thunderbird has 1 interception.
Offensively, the Wolf Pack average 15.0 points per game, which ranks 132nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 27.0 points per game, which is 93rd. Nevada averages 339.3 total yards per game, with 189.3 rushing yards and 150 passing yards per game. They allow 380.5 total yards per game, with 132.8 rushing and 247.8 passing yards per game.
Chubba Purdy leads the Wolf Pack with 494 passing yards and 54.8% completed passes. He also leads the team in rushing yards, with 276, while Marcus Bellon has a team-high 14 caught passes for 181 receiving yards, and one touchdown. Defensively, Dylan Labarbera has a team-high 30 total tackles, 18 of them solo. Dylan Labarbera leads the Wolf Pack in sacks, with 3, while EJ Smith has two interceptions.
In this Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -14-point home favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. Fresno State has been the superior team this season, with four straight wins after losing their season opener, and 3-1 ATS. They have won and covered both of their home games this season, while Nevada has been bad this season, with a 1-3 record and 1-3 ATS, and they have the 5th-worst offense in the entire nation. I expect an easy victory for the hosts, so take Fresno State and lay the -14 points at home.
Fresno State Preview
Fresno State has a 4-1 record this season and is sitting on the 1st place of the MWC. They are 3-2 ATS, 3-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and 2-1 away record. The Bulldogs are coming off a 23-21 road win against Hawaii and are playing Nevada, Colorado State and San Diego State next.Offensively, the Bulldogs average 32.8 points per game, which ranks 52nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 20.0 points per game, which is 47th. Fresno State averages 373.8 total yards per game, with 176.2 rushing yards and 197.6 passing yards per game. They allow 320.6 total yards per game, with 106.2 rushing and 214.4 passing yards per game.
E.J. Warner leads the Bulldogs with 946 passing yards and 73.2% completed passes. Bryson Donelson leads the team in rushing yards, with 343, while Josiah Freeman has a team-high 14 caught passes for 171 receiving yards. Defensively, Jadon Pearson has a team-high 42 total tackles, 26 of them solo. Finn Claypool leads the Bulldogs in sacks, with 2.5, while K’Vion Thunderbird has 1 interception.
Nevada Preview
Nevada has a 1-3 record this season and is sitting on the 10th place of the MWC. They are 1-3 ATS, 1-3 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 home record and 0-2 away record. The Wolf Pack are coming off a 16-31 road loss in Western Kentucky and are playing Fresno State, San Diego State and New Mexico next.Offensively, the Wolf Pack average 15.0 points per game, which ranks 132nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 27.0 points per game, which is 93rd. Nevada averages 339.3 total yards per game, with 189.3 rushing yards and 150 passing yards per game. They allow 380.5 total yards per game, with 132.8 rushing and 247.8 passing yards per game.
Chubba Purdy leads the Wolf Pack with 494 passing yards and 54.8% completed passes. He also leads the team in rushing yards, with 276, while Marcus Bellon has a team-high 14 caught passes for 181 receiving yards, and one touchdown. Defensively, Dylan Labarbera has a team-high 30 total tackles, 18 of them solo. Dylan Labarbera leads the Wolf Pack in sacks, with 3, while EJ Smith has two interceptions.
Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction
In their previous meeting last season, Fresno State won 24-21 on the road. They have won their last four meetings against Nevada, but Nevada is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.In this Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -14-point home favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. Fresno State has been the superior team this season, with four straight wins after losing their season opener, and 3-1 ATS. They have won and covered both of their home games this season, while Nevada has been bad this season, with a 1-3 record and 1-3 ATS, and they have the 5th-worst offense in the entire nation. I expect an easy victory for the hosts, so take Fresno State and lay the -14 points at home.