Purdue (1-2) vs Nebraska (3-1)
Game Info: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Purdue +9.5 / Nebraska -9.5 — Over/Under: 50.5
The Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Purdue Boilermakers meet Saturday in college football action from Ross-Ade. Here’s a Nebraska vs Purdue prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nebraska vs Purdue pick. We will examine:
The Nebraska Cornhuskers recent form and player performance
The Purdue Boilermakers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Nebraska Cornhuskers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Purdue Boilermakers
Recent betting trends in games played between Nebraska and Purdue
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Nebraska vs Purdue game
Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Preview
In their 2024 opener, the Cornhuskers faced off against UTEP. Nebraska won that one easily 40-7, then took out Colorado by a score of 28-10 in game two. Back on September 14 the Cornhuskers kept it going with another win 34-3 over Northern Iowa.
Nebraska took on a tricky Illinois team last Friday. The Cornhuskers were outscored 14-7 in the second half and eventually lost 31-24 in overtime. QB Dylan Raiola finished with 297 yards, three scores and a pick. Dante Dowdell led the rush on 72 yards from 20 carries.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
Over on the Purdue side, they experienced quite the dynamic in their first two outings. The opener was a pretty easy 49-0 blowout victory over Indiana State. The Boilermakers took on a tough Notre Dame team in game two however, and lost 66-7 in another blowout.
Back on Saturday versus Oregon State, Purdue faced a 17-7 deficit by halftime and eventually lost 38-21. Hudson Card threw for just 56 yards, one TD and a pick. Devin Mockobee carried 16 times for 168 yards and a score.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- The underdog has won four of the last five games between Nebraska and Purdue.
- Nebraska has lost each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between Nebraska and Purdue.
- Nebraska has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why the Nebraska Cornhuskers will win
- Nebraska has won nine of its last 10 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has lost four of its last five games in September.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six home games in September.
- The favorite has covered the spread in four of Purdue’s last five games.
- Purdue has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Purdue’s last four games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Nebraska’s last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Nebraska vs Purdue Prediction
I’m going to lean toward Nebraska. The Cornhuskers need to shake off their Illinois loss here, and I think they will. In the defeat, Nebraska posted 345 total yards (48 rushing) with 20 first downs and 8-of-15 on third-down tries. The nine penalties for 89 yards didn’t help though, nor did the 25 first downs surrendered to the Illini.
As for Purdue, last weekend they looked pretty rough against a solid Oregon State team. The Boilermakers notched just 13 first downs and went 2-of-9 on third-down conversions alongside a pair of turnovers. Nebraska should be in control here and I like the Cornhuskers to assert themselves in a cover.