NC State vs Notre Dame Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

1 month ago

Ohio State Buckeyes running back TreVeyon Henderson (32) runs during the College Football Playoff National Championship against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Jan. 22, 2025.

MATCHUP	NC State Wolfpack	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Team Records	4-3	4-2
Where	Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
When	Saturday, October 11, 2025
Time	03:30 PM EDT
TV	Peacock

In this article, we will formulate a North Carolina State vs Notre Dame Prediction for this College Football Week 7 game on Saturday, October 11th at the Notre Dame Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a 3-2 record this season. They are 2-2-1 ATS, 4-1 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 away record and 2-1 home record. The Fighting Irish are coming off a 28-7 home win against Boise State and are playing USC and Boston College next.

Offensively, the Fighting Irish average 40.8 points per game, which ranks 13th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 23.6 points per game, which is 70th. Notre Dame averages 461.6 total yards per game, with 178.6 rushing yards and 283 passing yards per game. They allow 375.2 total yards per game, with 117.2 rushing and 258 passing yards per game.

CJ Carr leads the Fighting Irish with 1280 passing yards and 67.7% completed passes, adding 11 touchdowns. Jeremiyah Love leads the team in rushing yards, with 444, and 6 touchdowns, while Jordan Faison has a team-high 25 caught passes for 327 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Adon Shuler has a team-high 26 total tackles, 12 of them solo. Boubacar Traore leads the Fighting Irish in sacks, with 3.5, while Leonard Moore has 3 interceptions.

North Carolina State Wolfpack Preview

The North Carolina State Wolfpack have a 4-2 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the ACC. They are 3-3 ATS, 4-2 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 away record and 3-1 home record. The Wolfpack are coming off a 56-10 home win against Campbell and are playing Pitt and Georgia Tech next.

Offensively, the Wolfpack average 33.8 points per game, which ranks 45th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 25 points per game, which is 77th. North Carolina State averages 447.7 total yards per game, with 165.3 rushing yards and 282.3 passing yards per game. They allow 375 total yards per game, with 131.8 rushing and 243.2 passing yards per game.

CJ Bailey leads the Wolfpack with 1660 passing yards and 74.6% completed passes, adding 13 touchdowns. Daylan Smothers leads the team in rushing yards, with 693, and 5 touchdowns, while Justin Joly has a team-high 28 caught passes for 256 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Caden Fordham has a team-high 59 total tackles, 28 of them solo. Sabastian Harsh leads the Wolfpack in sacks, with 2.5, while Cian Slone, Ronnie Royal III, and Isiah Shirley each have one interception.

NC State Wolfpack @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

Notre Dame has won each of its last 22 games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference at Notre Dame Stadium.
NC State has lost each of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.
Notre Dame has covered the spread in each of its last 10 home games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference.
NC State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
Notre Dame has won the first quarter in 12 of its last 13 games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference at Notre Dame Stadium.
Notre Dame has won the first half in each of its last 16 games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference at Notre Dame Stadium.

Why the NC State Wolfpack will win

NC State has won four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
The team ranked 16th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
NC State has covered the spread in four of its last five road games.
NC State has won the first half in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

Each of NC State’s last six road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Seven of Notre Dame’s last eight home games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference have gone OVER the total points line.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Player Prop Facts

Heading into Week 7, Jeremiyah Love ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for touchdowns (9) this season.

NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts

Heading into Week 7, Hollywood Smothers ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for rushing yards (693) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Notre Dame ranks 135th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (13.6).
Notre Dame ranks T7th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (8).
NC State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
NC State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).

North Carolina State vs Notre Dame Prediction

In their previous meeting in 2023, Notre Dame won 45-24 on the road, and have won their last two meetings against NC State. They have won their only home meeting by 35-14.

In this North Carolina State vs Notre Dame Prediction, Notre Dame is coming as -22.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 60 points. The Fighting Irish are red-hot right now, with three consecutive wins, having won their last two home games. On the flip side, the Wolfpack are 1-2 in their last three games, and have lost their previous game on the road. Notre Dame is better both offensively and defensively, but both teams have elite offenses, ranking on the top-45 of the country, scoring 74.6 points per game combined, and are 8-3 to the under combined. I expect a lot of points today, so the play is over the 60 points.