| MATCHUP | Navy Midshipmen | North Texas Mean Green |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-1 | 8-1 |
| Where | DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX | |
| When | Saturday, November 1, 2025 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
In this article we will formulate a Navy vs North Texas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 1st at DATCU Stadium in Denton, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 10 matchup.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen are 7-0 (5-0) this season after they defeated FAU by a score of 42-32 in their last game. Navy led 21-13 at halftime and added 21 points in the fourth quarter to secure the win. The Midshipmen out gained FAU by a total of 503-450, went 6-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Blake Horvath went 8-12 for 83 yards, while rushing for 174 yards and four scores on 21 carries. Brandon Chatman led the receivers with five receptions for 43 yards in the win. The Navy defense recorded three sacks and four tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that game, Navy defeated Temple by a score of 32-31 and Air Force by a score of 34-31. The Midshipmen have won all seven games so far this year and they are currently first in the American standings. Navy has scored 37.3 points per game with 158.9 passing yards and 318.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.0 points against per game this season. Blake Horvath has thrown for 1,063 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 814 yards and 12 scores on 119 carries this season.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green are 7-1 (3-1) this year after they defeated Charlotte by a score of 54-20 last week. North Texas trailed 17-7 in the second quarter, but they tied the game before halftime and scored 37 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Mean Green out gained Charlotte by a total of 754-399, went 4-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Drew Mestemaker went 37-49 for 608 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Kiefer Sibley rushed seven times for 71 yards and two scores. Wyatt Young led the receivers with nine catches for 190 yards and one touchdown in the game. The UNT defense recorded two sacks and four tackles for loss in the win.
Prior to that game, North Texas defeated UTSA by a score of 55-17, but did lose to South Florida by a score of 63-36 before that. The Mean Green have won two games in a row and they are currently tied for third in the American standings. North Texas has scored 46.1 points per game with 317.6 passing yards and 178.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.0 points against per game this season. Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 2,468 yards, 21 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Wyatt Young has 35 receptions for 586 yards and seven scores this year.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- The favorite has won each of Navy’s last eight games.
- Navy has lost each of its last six games as an underdog in Texas.
- North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- Navy has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Texas has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents at DATCU Stadium.
- Navy has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Texas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents at DATCU Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Navy’s last four games as an underdog in Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of North Texas’ last seven games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas ranks T2nd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (212).
- North Texas is one of two FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.
- Navy ranks 134th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (78.3).
- Navy ranks 4th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (53.8).
Navy vs North Texas Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup near the top of the American standings, so this is a huge game for each side. Navy has allowed at least 31 points in three straight games, but they have scored at least 32 in all three wins. North Texas has scored 54, 55, 36, 36, and 45 in their last five games, so there should be no shortage of offense in this contest. I think Navy has been extremely fortunate to keep getting wins with how their defense is playing, so I like North Texas to score 40+ once again here. Take the over in this one.
David Racey is 93-72 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!