| MATCHUP | Navy Midshipmen | Memphis Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-2 | 8-3 |
| Spread | +5.5 -112 | -5.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +170 | -205 |
| Total | Over 58.5 (-105) | Under 58.5 (-115) |
| Where | Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN | |
| When | Thursday, November 27, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
In this article we will formulate a Navy vs Memphis prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, November 27th at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen are 8-2 (6-1) this season after they defeated South Florida by a score of 41-38 in their last game. Navy led 24-9 at halftime and they scored 17 points in the fourth quarter to seal the victory. The Midshipmen were out gained by a total of 556-524, went 5-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Blake Horvath went 8-15 for 147 yards and one touchdown, while Alex Tecza rushed 12 times for 126 yards and one score. Eli Heidenreich led the receivers with five receptions for 146 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Navy lost to Notre Dame by a score of 49-10 and North Texas by a score of 31-17. The Midshipmen have lost two of their last three games and they are currently tied for first in the American standings. Navy has scored 32.9 points per game with 140.0 passing yards and 308.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.9 points against per game this season. Blake Horvath has thrown for 1,290 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also leading the rushing attack with 159 carries for 986 yards and 13 scores this season.
Memphis Tigers Betting Preview
The Memphis Tigers are 8-3 (4-3) this year after they lost to East Carolina by a score of 31-27 in their last game. Memphis led 17-10 at halftime, but they allowed 21 points in the second half for the tough loss. The Tigers out gained ECU by a total of 457-454, went 4-16 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Brendon Lewis went 32-43 for 209 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Sutton Smith rushed seven times for 109 yards and one score. Cortez Braham Jr led the receivers with nine catches for 79 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Memphis lost to Tulane by a score of 38-32, but did beat Rice by a score of 38-14 before that. The Tigers have lost three of their last five games and they are currently tied for sixth in the American standings. Memphis has scored 36.2 points per game with 240.3 passing yards and 192.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.0 points against per game this season. Brendon Lewis has thrown for 2,395 yards, 13 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Cortez Braham Jr has 59 receptions for 824 yards and seven scores this year.
Why the Memphis Tigers will win
- Memphis has won each of its last eight Thursday games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
- Memphis has covered the spread in five of its last six games at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- Navy has won eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Navy has covered the spread in six of its last eight November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Memphis has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Memphis’ last nine November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Navy’s last four November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Memphis ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.2).
- Memphis ranks 7th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (6.5).
- Navy ranks 134th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (78.6).
- Navy ranks 130th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (140.0).
Navy vs Memphis Prediction
Navy comes into this matchup in the hunt for the American Championship game and they are coming off of a win over South Florida, but they will be on the road here. The Midshipmen have one of the best rushing attacks in the country, but they have allowed at least 31 points in five straight games. Memphis has lost two games in a row and they have allowed at least 31 points in four of their last five. I don’t trust either defense in this contest and while I lean towards Navy and the points, I am going to take the over here.
David Racey is 140-118 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!