Morgan State (0-0) vs South Alabama (0-0)
August 30, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: South Alabama -28.5 — Over/Under: 51.5
In this article, we will formulate a Morgan State vs South Alabama Prediction for this College Football Week 1 game on Saturday, August 30th at the Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
South Alabama Preview
South Alabama finished last season with a 7-6 overall record and had a 5-3 conference record in the Sun Belt. Offensively last season, the Jaguars scored 34.4 points per game, while allowing 25.2 points per game defensively. South Alabama averaged 198.7 rushing yards and 243.5 passing yards per game. They allowed 142.2 rushing yards per game and 248.8 passing yards per game.
Gio Lopez led the Jaguars last season with 206/312 completed passes and 2,559 total passing yards. He also had 18 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Bishop Davenport added 48/79 passes for 606 passing yards and 3 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock led the team in rushing yards, with 831 and 7 touchdowns, while Jamaal Pritchett had a team-high 91 caught passes for 1,127 receiving yards, and had 9 touchdowns. Jeremiah Webb caught 36 passes for 649 yards and 5 touchdowns.
Defensively, Blayne Myrick had a team-high 101 total tackles, 45 of them solo, while Courtney McBride had a team-high 5 total sacks, and Jaden Voisin had a team-high 5 interceptions.
Morgan State Preview
Morgan State finished last season with a 6-6 overall record and had a 3-2 conference record in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference. Offensively last season, the Bears scored 24.3 points per game, while allowing 23.3 points per game defensively. Morgan State averaged 150.8 rushing yards and 163.8 passing yards per game. They allowed 143.3 rushing yards per game and 170.8 passing yards per game.
Duce Taylor led the Bears last season with 80/115 completed passes and 833 total passing yards. He also had 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Jason Collins Jr. led the team in rushing yards, with 620 and 8 touchdowns, while Andre Crawley had a team-high 50 caught passes for 528 receiving yards, and had 2 touchdowns. Marquez Phillips caught 19 passes for 259 yards, and 2 touchdowns.
Defensively, Arturo Mattocks had a team-high 50 total tackles, 23 of them solo, while Elijah Williams had a team-high 6.5 total sacks, and Carlvainsky Decius had a team-high 3 interceptions.
Why South Alabama will win
- South Alabama has won each of its last 10 games against non-FBS teams.
- South Alabama has won each of its last 10 home games against non-FBS teams.
- South Alabama has won three of its last four games.
- South Alabama has won three of its last four home openers.
Why Morgan State will win
- South Alabama has lost each of its last eight games as an underdog in Alabama.
- South Alabama has lost 14 of its last 15 games as an underdog in Alabama.
- South Alabama has lost each of its last three games in August.
- South Alabama has lost each of its last five home openers as an underdog.
Total points facts
- Six of South Alabama’s last seven games at Hancock Whitney Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of South Alabama’s last six home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of South Alabama’s last six games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of South Alabama’s last five games as a home underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Morgan State vs South Alabama Prediction
This will be the first meetings between those two teams.
In this Morgan State vs South Alabama Prediction, South Alabama is coming as -28.5-point home favorites. South Alabama is rightfully favored, as the competition difference is huge as Morgan State was mediocre in the Mid-Eastern Athletic conference. South Alabama lost a ton of stars, but Applewhite still has enough vets and new guys to keep the team solid. They probably won’t hit the ceiling they could have, but another solid season feels about right. South Alabama is good enough to dominate an inferior team at home in the season opener. Take South Alabama and lay the -28.5 points at home.