Alabama (5-2) vs Missouri (6-1)
Game Info: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 3:33 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama -12.5 / Missouri +12.5 — Over/Under: 56.5
The Missouri Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet Saturday in college football action from Bryant-Denny. Here’s a Missouri vs Alabama prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Missouri vs Alabama pick. We will examine:
The Missouri Tigers’ recent form and player performance
The Alabama Crimson Tide’s recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Missouri Tigers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama Crimson Tide
Recent betting trends in games played between Missouri and Alabama
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Missouri vs Alabama game
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
The Tigers opened up the season with four straight wins over Murray State, Buffalo, Boston College, and Vanderbilt. Missouri would fall 41-10 to Texas A&M in game five but then dispatched UMass 45-3 the next week.
In last weekend’s game versus Auburn, the Tigers scored 15 unanswered points in the fourth quarter for a dramatic comeback win 21-17. Brady Cook threw for 194 yards on 11-of-22 passing, and Marcus Carroll had eight carries for 40 yards and a score to pace the rush.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
Over on the Alabama side, they beat Western Kentucky, South Florida, Wisconsin, and Georgia in their first four before a 40-35 loss to Vanderbilt. The Crimson Tide powered out a 27-25 win over South Carolina in game six.
Matched up against Tennessee, Alabama was outscored 24-10 in the second half for a loss 24-17. QB Jalen Milroe threw for 239 yards, one TD, and two interceptions. Topping the run was Jamarion Miller with 42 yards, and Ryan Williams caught eight balls for 73 yards and a TD.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won 37 of its last 38 games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
- Missouri has lost 13 of its last 16 October games against AP-ranked teams.
- Alabama has covered the spread in each of its last four games against AP-ranked teams at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won 10 of its last 11 games.
- Missouri has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- The team ranked 15th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Missouri’s last seven October games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Alabama’s last seven games at Bryant-Denny Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks 11th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (7.3).
- Alabama ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (10.0).
- Missouri ranks 9th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (6.4).
- Missouri ranks 9th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (273.0).
Missouri vs Alabama Prediction
I’ll stick with Missouri. The Tigers had plenty of drama in their win over Auburn last weekend as Cook went to the hospital early in the game and then returned to help finish off the win. The Tigers notched 353 total yards (272 passing) and lost a couple of fumbles in a very precarious win.
As for Alabama, they shot themselves in the proverbial foot with 15 penalties for 115 yards, two interceptions and a meager 3-of-14 success rate on third-down tries in their loss to Tennessee. The Tide defense did come up with three takeaways but also surrendered 214 yards on the ground. I like Alabama to come back stronger this weekend but I think Missouri can cover.