Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Prediction 9/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Kennesaw State Owls meet in week 5 college football action from Fifth Third Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls prediction.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Recap

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come into this game looking to rebound from a 42-28 loss at the hands of the Marshall Thundering Herd to sit at 1-3 this season. After this game, Middle Tennessee will head home for a game against Missouri State.

Blue Raiders Looking To Rebound

Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 847 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 56.6% passing while Jekail Middlebrook leads the Blue Raiders with 231 rushing yards as well on the year. Nazhae Cox leads Middle Tennessee with 20 grabs for 264 yards and 4 touchdowns while Myles Butler has 152 receiving yards as well this season. Two more Blue Raiders also have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Parker Hughes has a team-high 35 total tackles including 21 solo tackles while Muaaz Byard has 25 total tackles with 12 solo tackles. Zeion Simpson-Smith and Damonte Smith each have a pair of sacks and Juwon Gaston has a pair of interceptions.

Kennesaw State Owls Recap

The Kennesaw State Owls come into this game looking to add on to their 28-21 win over Arkansas State last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, Kennesaw State will take on Louisiana Tech in a game at home.

Owls Looking To Get Back Above .500

Amari Odom has thrown for 592 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 73.4% passing while Dexter Williams II has thrown for 236 yards and a pick on 42.3% passing. Coleman Bennett has a team-high 191 rushing yards with 2 touchdowns while Odom has 128 rushing yards and 2 scores and Alexander Diggs has 150 rushing yards with a TD. Gabriel Benyard has a team-high 18 grabs for 322 yards and 2 TDs while Christian Moss has 17 catches for 206 yards Lyndon Ravare has 136 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Baron Hopson has a team-high 36 total tackles including 14 solo tackles while Kennesaw State’s defense as a whole has combined for 9 sacks this season, led by Elijah Hill’s 2.5 sacks.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Kennesaw State Owls Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the Kennesaw State Owls will win

• The home team has won each of Kennesaw State’s last six games.
• Middle Tennessee has lost eight of its last nine games in September.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
• Kennesaw State has covered the spread in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
• Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Kennesaw State has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• The road team has won six of Middle Tennessee’s last eight games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Kennesaw State’s last five games at Fifth Third Stadium.
• Kennesaw State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Kennesaw State’s last five September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Middle Tennessee’s last seven September road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Kennesaw State Owls Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Gabriel Benyard leads the Conference USA for receiving yards (322) this season.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Rickey Hunt Jr. ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kennesaw State ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (0.8).
• Kennesaw State ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.3).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 134th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (64.0).
• Middle Tennessee ranks T132nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (100.0).

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls Prediction

I’m on Kennesaw State here. I get the case to be made for Middle Tennessee after looking more impressive offensively in a lot of their recent outings, but that being said, they’re still arguably one of the worst teams in C-USA, which by a lot of metrics is viewed as the worst group of 5 conference out there. Kennesaw State really showed me something last time out against Arkansas State and I think they build on that with a win and cover at home here.