| MATCHUP | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | Ole Miss Rebels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-2 | 13-1 |
| Where | State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ | |
| When | Thursday, January 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
In this article we will formulate a Miami vs Ole Miss prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, January 8th at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football Playoff Semifinal matchup.
Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview
The Miami Hurricanes are 12-2 (6-2) this season after they defeated Ohio State by a score of 24-14 in their last game. Miami led 14-0 at halftime, but that lead was cut to 17-14 in the fourth quarter, before they put the game away with a late touchdown. The Hurricanes were out gained by a total of 332-291, went 7-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Carson Beck went 19-26 for 138 yards and one touchdown, while Mark Fletcher Jr rushed 19 times for 90 yards. CJ Daniels led the receivers with five catches for 49 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Miami defeated Texas A&M by a score of 10-3 and Pittsburgh by a score of 38-7. The Hurricanes have won six games in a row and they finished tied for second in the ACC standings. Miami has scored 31.6 points per game with 253.6 passing yards and 152.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 13.1 points against per game this season. Carson Beck has thrown for 3,313 yards, 27 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Mark Fletcher Jr has rushed for 947 yards and 10 scores on 177 carries this season. Malachi Toney has added 94 receptions for 1,008 yards and eight touchdowns.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
The Ole Miss Rebels are 13-1 (7-1) this year after they defeated Georgia by a score of 39-34 in their last game. Ole Miss trailed 21-12 at halftime and 24-19 in the fourth quarter, but they did take a 34-24 lead in the fourth. The Rebels couldn’t hang on to that lead, but did kick a field goal with six seconds left for the win. The Rebels out gained Georgia by a total of 473-343, went 5-14 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Trinidad Chambliss went 30-46 for 362 yards and two touchdowns, while Kewan Lacy rushed 22 times for 98 yards and two scores. Harrison Wallace III led the receivers with nine catches for 156 yards and one score in the win.
Prior to that game, Ole Miss defeated Tulane by a score of 41-10 and Mississippi State by a score of 38-19. The Rebels have won seven games in a row and they finished tied for first in the SEC standings. Ole Miss has scored 37.6 points per game with 315.9 passing yards and 180.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.4 points against per game this season. Trinidad Chambliss has thrown for 3,660 yards, 21 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Kewan Lacy has rushed for 1,464 yards and 23 scores on 295 carries this year.
Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win
- Ole Miss has won four of its last five games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- Miami (FL) has lost each of its last three Bowl games as a favorite.
- The team ranked 6th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
- Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven Bowl games.
Why the Miami Hurricanes will win
- Miami (FL) has won each of its last six games.
- Miami (FL) has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a top-15 AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Ole Miss’ last seven games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Miami (FL)’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ole Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last eight games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Ole Miss ranks 2nd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (496.2).
- Miami (FL) ranks 4th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (13.1).
- Miami (FL) ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.1).
Miami vs Ole Miss Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup after a shocking upset of Ohio State in their last game, but they need to find more offense. The Hurricanes only scored 10 points against Texas A&M in the first round and their offense only accounted for 17 points against OSU. Ole Miss is also coming off of an upset win and they have scored at least 38 points in four of their last five games. I know Miami’s defense is very good and they are playing at an elite level, but I think this is a very even matchup, so I will take Ole Miss and the points.
David Racey is 190-161 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!