Mercyhurst vs New Mexico Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Dec 26, 2025; Phoenix, AZ, USA; New Mexico Lobos running back Scottre Humphrey (22) against the Minnesota Golden Gophers during the Rate Bowl at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Mercyhurst Lakers
New Mexico Lobos
Team Records
0-2
1-0
Where
University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM
When
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Time
04:00 PM EDT
TV
MW+
The Mercyhurst Lakers and the New Mexico Lobos meet in week 2 college football action from University Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction.
Mercyhurst Lakers Recap
The Mercyhurst Lakers come into this game looking to shake off a 51-14 loss at the hands of New Mexico State last time out to sit at 0-2 this season.
Lakers Searching For Massive Upset
Alex Gevaudan threw for 147 yards, a TD, and an interception on 13 of 21 passing, while Tyler Tusai added 20 passing yards and an interception on 3 of 9 passing. Jameir Gamble led the ground game with 59 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Byron Cardwell Jr. scored the team’s only rushing touchdown. Evan Van Dyke led all receivers with 60 yards on 4 catches, while Camden Lewis caught 5 passes for 43 yards and a touchdown. On defense, Elijah Binakonsky led Mercyhurst with a team-high 7 total tackles. Zacchaeus Dixon chipped in 5 total tackles, a tackle for loss, and the team’s only sack.
New Mexico Lobos Recap
The New Mexico Lobos come into this game looking to add on to their win over Central Michigan by a final score of 38-7 last time out to sit at 1-0 this season. After this game, New Mexico will head on the road for a game against Oklahoma.
Lobos Looking Ahead To Sooners?
Luke Moga threw for 116 yards and a TD on 13 of 17 passing, while Toa Fa’avae added 43 passing yards on 4 of 8 passing. Scottre Humphrey led the ground attack with 64 rushing yards and a TD on 13 carries, while James Laubstein chipped in 18 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 6 carries. Bailen George led all receivers with 36 yards and a TD on 4 catches. On defense, Mercury Swaim led New Mexico with a team-high 7 total tackles. Drew Speech recorded 5 total tackles, a tackle for loss, and a sack, while Darren Agu and Brett Karhu each added a sack. Xavier Slayton logged a tackle and recorded the team’s only interception.
Mercyhurst Lakers @ New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends: Week 2
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
New Mexico has won each of its last eight home games.
New Mexico has covered the spread in four of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.
New Mexico has won the first half in each of its last 11 games against non-FBS teams.
New Mexico has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games.
Total Points Facts
Seven of New Mexico’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 2, Cade Keith ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
New Mexico ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
New Mexico ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction
I’m on New Mexico here. I just think the Lobos are so far ahead of Mercyhurst that it’s not even funny and this is a good opportunity for Moga to get some reps to build on going forward as this is a New Mexico team that’s going to have to live life without Jack Layne this season and if the Lobos are going to fufill expectations, they need to get everyone on the same page. Give me New Mexico here.
