| MATCHUP | Memphis Tigers | NC State Wolfpack |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Spread | +4.5 -110 | -4.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +170 | -205 |
| Total | Over 58.5 (-108) | Under 58.5 (-112) |
| Where | Brooks Stadium (SC), Conway, SC | |
| When | Friday, December 19, 2025 | |
| Time | 02:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
NC State Wolfpack Preview
NC State has a 7-5 record this season and finished 9th in the ACC. They are coming off a 42-19 home win against North Carolina. Offensively, North Carolina State averages 30.2 points per game, ranking 46th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 28.8 points per game, which is 93rd. North Carolina State averages 396.8 total yards per game (247.8 passing and 149.1 rushing), while allowing 421.0 total yards per game (137.9 rushing and 283.1 passing).
CJ Bailey leads North Carolina State with 2,884 passing yards with 69.6% completed passes and 23 touchdowns. Daylan Smothers leads the team in rushing yards with 939, while Justin Joly has a team-high 47 receptions for 468 receiving yards. Defensively, Caden Fordham has a team-high 130 total tackles (56 of them solo), while Travali Price leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, and Devon Marshall has a team-high 2 interceptions.
Memphis Tigers Preview
Memphis has an 8-4 record this season and finished 6th in the American. They are coming off a 28-17 home loss against Navy. Offensively, Memphis averages 34.6 points per game, ranking 19th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.5 points per game, which is 48th. Memphis averages 420.7 total yards per game (234.6 passing and 186.1 rushing), while allowing 361.1 total yards per game (133.4 rushing and 227.7 passing).
Brendon Lewis leads Memphis with 2,567 passing yards with 69.7% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Sutton Smith leads the team in rushing yards with 696, while Cortez Braham has a team-high 63 receptions for 889 receiving yards. Defensively, Sam Brumfield has a team-high 106 total tackles (46 of them solo), while Sam Brumfield leads the team in sacks, with 4.5.
Memphis Tigers @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: Bowl
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won five of its last six games against opponents from the American Conference.
- Memphis has lost four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Memphis has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against teams from North Carolina.
- NC State has covered the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite.
- NC State has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against opponents from the American Conference.
Why the Memphis Tigers will win
- Memphis has won each of its last 11 games against non-conference opponents.
- NC State has lost each of its last six games at neutral venues.
- Memphis has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
- NC State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents.
- NC State has lost the first half in each of its last six games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Memphis has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Memphis’ last eight games against teams from North Carolina have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of NC State’s last five games against opponents from the American Conference have gone UNDER the total points line.
NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into the bowl games, Justin Joly ranks T1st in the Atlantic Coast Conference for receiving touchdowns (7) this season.
Memphis Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into the bowl games, Sutton Smith ranks 17th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (6.6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- NC State ranks 134th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (283.1).
- NC State ranks 9th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (92.7).
- Memphis ranks 5th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (93.8).
- Memphis ranks 6th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+5.4).
Memphis vs NC State Prediction
In this Memphis vs NC State Prediction, NC State is coming as -6-point favorites. Memphis has one more win this season and has been very good away from home, while on the other hand, NC State is just 1-4 on the road. NC State is coming into this matchup in better form, as it is 3-1 in its last 4 games and 3-1 against the spread, while Memphis has lost its last three games. Memphis has been better both offensively and defensively than NC State this season, with a +12.1 point differential, so I expect them to keep this one close. Take Memphis and get the +6 points in this one.