Massachusetts (0-2) vs Iowa (1-1)
September 13, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa -35 — Over/Under:
The Umass Minutemen and Iowa Hawkeyes meet Saturday in college football action at Kinnick Stadium. Here’s a Massachusetts vs Iowa Prediction. This article will include a Massachusetts vs Iowa Pick.
Umass Minutemen Betting Preview
The Umass Minutemen lost to Temple and Bryant, and play Missouri next. Massachusetts has lost 6 straight games. Brandon Rose is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 217 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jacquon Gibson and Donnie Gray have combined for 281 receiving yards on 22 catches, while Tyree Kelly has 4 receptions.
The Umass Minutemen ground game is averaging 102 yards per contest, and Rocko Griffin leads the way with 114 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Umass is allowing 34.5 points and 433 yards per game. Derrieon Craig leads the Umass Minutemen with 17 tackles, Marques White has 1 sack and Tyler Martin has 1 interception.
Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Preview
The Iowa Hawkeyes beat Albany, lost to Iowa State, and they play Rutgers next. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won 5 of their last 8 games. Mark Gronowski is completing 53.8 percent of his passes for 127 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jacob Gill and Sam Phillips have combined for 80 receiving yards on 7 catches, while Seth Anderson has 3 receptions.
The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 220.5 yards per contest, and Xavier Williams leads the way with 148 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 11.5 points and 207.5 yards per game. Jaden Harrell leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 13 tackles, Max Liewellyn has 1 sack and TJ Hall has 3 pass deflections.
Massachusetts Minutemen @ Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends: Week 3
Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win
- Massachusetts has lost 28 of its last 29 road games against non-conference opponents.
- Iowa has won each of its last seven home games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
- Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 14 September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Iowa has covered the spread in three of its last four home games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
- Massachusetts has lost the first half in 35 of its last 46 games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win
- The road team has won each of Massachusetts’ last three games.
- Iowa has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
- Massachusetts has covered the spread in three of its last four road games in September.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Massachusetts’ last five games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Iowa’s last four home games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
Iowa Hawkeyes Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Jacob Gill leads Iowa for receptions (6) this season.
Massachusetts Minutemen Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Jacquon Gibson leads the Mid-American Conference for receptions (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Iowa ranks 135th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (65.5).
- Iowa ranks T6th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (1.5).
- Massachusetts ranks 130th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-8.5).
- Massachusetts ranks 126th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (297.0).
Massachusetts vs Iowa Prediction
Iowa is obviously the better team and could win by margin. Heck, we’ve seen UMass lose to Temple and Bryant in ugly fashion. UMass is an FCS program at this point. However, do we trust Iowa’s offense to lay massive numbers? Iowa is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games as a double-digit favorite. Iowa is 8-11 ATS in its last 19 games when favorites of 20 or more points. I don’t want to back UMass as much as the next guy, but laying 30-plus points with Iowa doesn’t sound fun either. So, it’s UMass or pass for me. Yuck.