James Madison (6-1) vs Texas State (3-4)
October 28, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas State +7 — Over/Under: +55.5
The James Madison Dukes and Texas State Bobcats meet Tuesday in college football action at UFCU Stadium. Here’s a James Madison vs Texas State Prediction. This article will include a James Madison vs Texas State Pick.
The James Madison Dukes beat Louisiana and Old Dominion, and they play Marshall next. The James Madison Dukes have won 5 straight games. Alonza Barnett III is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 1,252 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Landon Ellis and Nick DeGennaro have combined for 603 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Wayne Knight has 23 receptions.
The James Madison Dukes ground game is averaging 243.7 yards per contest, and Wayne Knight leads the way with 611 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, James Madison is allowing 15.6 points and 237 yards per game. Trent Hendrick leads the James Madison Dukes with 48 tackles, Sahir West has 3 sacks and Justin Eaglin has 2 interceptions.
The Texas State Bobcats lost to Troy and Marshall, and they play Louisiana next. Texas State has lost 3 straight games. Brad Jackson is completing 69.7 percent of his passes for 1,786 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Beau Sparks and Chris Dawn Jr. have combined for 1,179 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Kyle Evans has 14 receptions.
The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 230.7 yards per contest, and Lincoln Pare leads the way with 608 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 31.3 points and 404.9 yards per game. Treylin Payne leads the Texas State Bobcats with 66 tackles, Kalil Alexander has 3 sacks and Khamari Terrell has 1 interception.
These are two teams heading in different directions. James Madison is a balanced team that’s above average on both sides of the ball and is 5-2 ATS on the season. Texas State has had some close games that could’ve gone either way, but it’s lost 3 straight games and has failed to cover 5 straight games. Texas State is better than its record, but it can’t be trusted against good teams with a poor defense. James Madison and its top-10 rushing attack should be able to control this game. Give me James Madison by a touchdown.
James Madison Dukes Betting Preview
The James Madison Dukes beat Louisiana and Old Dominion, and they play Marshall next. The James Madison Dukes have won 5 straight games. Alonza Barnett III is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 1,252 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Landon Ellis and Nick DeGennaro have combined for 603 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Wayne Knight has 23 receptions.
The James Madison Dukes ground game is averaging 243.7 yards per contest, and Wayne Knight leads the way with 611 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, James Madison is allowing 15.6 points and 237 yards per game. Trent Hendrick leads the James Madison Dukes with 48 tackles, Sahir West has 3 sacks and Justin Eaglin has 2 interceptions.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats lost to Troy and Marshall, and they play Louisiana next. Texas State has lost 3 straight games. Brad Jackson is completing 69.7 percent of his passes for 1,786 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Beau Sparks and Chris Dawn Jr. have combined for 1,179 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Kyle Evans has 14 receptions.
The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 230.7 yards per contest, and Lincoln Pare leads the way with 608 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 31.3 points and 404.9 yards per game. Treylin Payne leads the Texas State Bobcats with 66 tackles, Kalil Alexander has 3 sacks and Khamari Terrell has 1 interception.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- The underdog has won four of Texas State’s last six games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Texas State’s last six games.
- James Madison has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in October.
Why the James Madison Dukes will win
- James Madison has won seven of its last eight games.
- Texas State has lost each of its last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Texas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- James Madison has covered the spread in six of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of James Madison’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Texas State’s last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Lincoln Pare leads the Sun Belt Conference for touchdowns (9) this season.
James Madison Dukes Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Alonza Barnett III leads the Sun Belt Conference for rushing touchdowns (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas State has given up the largest 2nd quarter lead to win a game this season – 14 points vs Troy.
- Texas State has given up the largest 1st quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Troy.
- James Madison ranks 2nd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (74.3).
- James Madison ranks 2nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (35:32).
James Madison vs Texas State Prediction
These are two teams heading in different directions. James Madison is a balanced team that’s above average on both sides of the ball and is 5-2 ATS on the season. Texas State has had some close games that could’ve gone either way, but it’s lost 3 straight games and has failed to cover 5 straight games. Texas State is better than its record, but it can’t be trusted against good teams with a poor defense. James Madison and its top-10 rushing attack should be able to control this game. Give me James Madison by a touchdown.