James Madison vs Georgia State Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The James Madison Dukes and the Georgia State Panthers meet in week 6 college football action from Kidd Brewer Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia State Panthers prediction.

James Madison Dukes Recap

The James Madison Dukes come into this game looking to add on to their 35-10 win over Georgia Southern last time out to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, the Dukes will head home for a game against the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns.

Dukes Looking To Run Through Sun Belt

Alonza Barnett III has thrown for 593 yards, 4 touchdowns and an interception on 60.6% passing while Wayne Knight leads the Dukes in rushing with 341 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. Four more Dukes have at least 100 rushing yards as well this season while Landon Ellis leads JMU in receiving with 155 receiving yards and 2 catches and the aforementioned Knight has 13 grabs to lead JMU along with 105 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Trent Hendrick has a team-high 30 total tackles in addition to 3 sacks while James Madison’s defense as a whole has combined for 13 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

Georgia State Panthers Recap

The Georgia State Panthers come into this game looking to bounce back after a 70-21 loss to Vanderbilt prior to their bye week last week, slipping to 1-3 on the year as a result. After this game, Georgia State will take on the App State Mountaineers at home.

Panthers Looking To Rebound

TJ Finley has thrown for 527 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.9% passing while Cameran Brown has thrown for 376 yards and 5 TDs on 68.6% passing. Rashad Amos has a team-high 165 rushing yards and a touchdown while Ted Hurst leads Georgia State with 25 catches for 346 yards and 2 touchdowns and Javon Robinson’s added 15 catches for 167 yards and 2 scores as well. On defense, Josiah Robinson has a team-high 29 total tackles along with a sack while Georgia State’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and a pair of interceptions so far this season.

James Madison Dukes @ Georgia State Panthers Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Georgia State Panthers will win

• James Madison has lost three of its last four October games as a road favorite.
• Georgia State has won three of its last four October games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Georgia State’s last nine games at Center Parc Stadium.
• James Madison has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
• James Madison has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.

Why the James Madison Dukes will win

• Georgia State has lost each of its last six home games against conference opponents.
• James Madison has won five of its last six games against teams from Georgia.
• Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games.
• James Madison has covered the spread in each of its last five games.
• James Madison has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• James Madison has won the first half in 18 of its last 24 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of James Madison’s last eight games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Georgia State’s last five home games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Georgia State Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Cameran Brown has recorded a 110.0+ passer rating in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.

James Madison Dukes Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Alonza Barnett III leads James Madison for touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Georgia State ranks 136th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (48.0).
• Georgia State ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (14.0).
• James Madison ranks 3rd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (209.3).
• James Madison ranks 3rd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (48).

James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia State Panthers Prediction

I’m on James Madison here. I know Georgia State is catching a healthy number at home here and I wonder if Georgia State will pull the trigger on making Cameran Brown the full time QB1 with more impressive numbers. However, this is a tough spot regardless of who starts under center, as JMU is the team to beat in my eyes in the Sun Belt this season. The Dukes need to keep putting up dominant performances if they’re going to be in the conversation for the group of 5 college football playoff bid, but this team is well coached enough and talented enough to do just that and run roughshod through the Sun Belt. JMU has blown out far better than what they’re up against here and I could see this one getting ugly. Give me the Panthers in this one.