Hawai’i vs UNLV Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Oct 18, 2025; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; Hawaii Rainbow Warriors quarterback Micah Alejado (12) prepares to pass against the Colorado State Rams in the first quarter at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Hawai'i Warriors
UNLV Runnin Rebels
Team Records
7-3
8-2
Spread
+3 -115
-3 -105
Moneyline
+120
-142
Total
Over 64.5 (-105)
Under 64.5 (-115)
Where
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
When
Friday, November 21, 2025
Time
10:30 PM EST
TV
FS1
The Hawaii Warriors and the UNLV Rebels meet in week 13 college football action from Allegiant Stadium on Friday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Hawaii Warriors vs. UNLV Rebels prediction.
Hawaii Warriors Recap
The Hawaii Warriors come into this game looking to add on to their 38-6 win over San Diego State last time out to sit at 7-3 this season. After this game, Hawaii will take on Wyoming at home in their regular season finale.
Warriors Win 4 Of Last 5
Micah Alejado has thrown for 2,380 yards, 18 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 65.8% passing while Luke Weaver has thrown for 600 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 59.8% passing. Landon Sims has 487 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns and Cam Barfield has 274 rushing yards and 3 TDs. Jackson Harris leads the Warriors in receiving with 731 yards and 10 touchdowns while Pofele Ashlock has a team-high 58 catches for 633 yards and 6 touchdowns. Brandon White has 359 receiving yards on 33 catches while four more Warriors have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Peter Manuma has a team-high 54 total tackles while Jackie Johnson III has a team-high 7 sacks and De’Jon Benton has 4.5 sacks. As a unit, Hawaii’s defense has combined for 25 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
UNLV Rebels Recap
The UNLV Rebels come into this game looking to build on a 29-26 win over Utah State last time out to sit at 8-2 this season. After this game, UNLV will head on the road for a game against the Nevada Wolf Pack to close out the regular season.
Rebels Win Back-To-Back Games
Anthony Colandrea has thrown for 2,527 yards, 18 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 67.1% passing while also rushing for 513 yards and 7 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas has a team-high 780 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns while Keyvone Lee has 319 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Jaden Bradley leads UNLV in receiving with 43 grabs for 712 yards and 3 touchdowns while Troy Omeire has 24 catches for 386 yards and 3 touchdowns. Daejon Reynolds also has 343 receiving yards and 4 TDs as well on the year. On defense, Marsel McDuffie has a team-high 80 total tackles along with a pair of interceptions while Aamaris Brown has a pair of sacks and a team-high 4 interceptions. Tunmise Adeleye also has a team-high 6 sacks as well this season. As a unit, UNLV’s defense has combined for 22 sacks and 12 interceptions so far this season.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ UNLV Rebels Betting Trends: Week 13
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
UNLV has won 15 of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Hawaii has lost 17 of its last 21 road games.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Hawaii and UNLV.
Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games in November.
Hawaii has lost the first half in nine of its last 12 road games against conference opponents.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
Hawaii has won four of its last five games as an underdog.
The underdog has covered the spread in each of UNLV’s last five games at Allegiant Stadium.
UNLV has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a home favorite.
Hawaii has won the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
Four of Hawaii’s last five games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
Four of UNLV’s last five games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts
Tunmise Adeleye has recorded at least one sack in four consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 13.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
Jackson Harris has recorded 100+ receiving yards in five consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 13.
Matchup/League Facts
UNLV has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (4).
UNLV is one of two FBS teams to score 25+ points in every game this season.
Hawaii is one of only two FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals this season.
Hawaii is one of only two FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals and extra points this season.
Hawaii Warriors vs. UNLV Rebels Prediction
I’m on Hawaii and the points here. I just think Hawaii’s offense has been electric and should have no problems shredding UNLV here and the narrative that Hawaii can’t win away from the island is long gone. UNLV’s had issues putting teams away this season and I think the Rebels let Hawaii hang around and the Warriors are live to win this game. Give me Hawaii and the points.
