Texas State (6-4) vs Georgia State (2-8)
Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 7:00 pm (UFCU Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas State -19.5 / Georgia State +19.5 — Over/Under: 57
The Georgia State Panthers and the Texas State Bobcats meet Saturday in college football action from UFCU Stadium. Here’s a Georgia State vs Texas State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Georgia State vs Texas State pick. We will examine:
The Georgia State Panthers’ recent form and player performance
The Texas State Bobcats’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Georgia State Panthers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas State Bobcats
Recent betting trends in games played between Georgia State and Texas State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Georgia State vs Texas State game
Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview
The Panthers kicked off the year on a 2-1 run with wins over Chattanooga and Vanderbilt. Georgia State would hit a losing streak after that, falling to GA Southern, Old Dominion, Marshall, App State, UConn, and James Madison in the next half-dozen outings.
In their Saturday game versus Arkansas State, the Panthers were outscored 20-13 in the second half during a 27-20 defeat. QB Christian Veilleux threw for 245 yards, one TD, and a pick. Michel Dukes led a struggling rush on six carries for 32 yards.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
Over on the Texas State, they started out at 2-2 with wins over Lamar and UTSA. The Bobcats would take out Troy and Arkansas State before losses to Old Dominion and Louisiana. November 9th’s game was another win, this time over LA-Monroe.
Matched up against Southern Miss last weekend, the Bobcats didn’t have too many issues. Texas State scored 21 points in the first quarter and rolled to a 58-3 blowout win. QB Jordan McCloud threw for 335 yards and four scores. Kole Wilson led the receivers on six grabs for 116 yards.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Georgia State has lost each of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
- Texas State has won four of its last five November games at UFCU Stadium.
- Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games in November.
- Texas State has covered the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents at UFCU Stadium.
- Georgia State has lost the first half in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
Why the Georgia State Panthers will win
- Georgia State has covered the spread in six of its last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas State’s last four November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Georgia State’s last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Georgia State vs Texas State Prediction
I’ll lean toward Texas State, but it’s a pretty hefty line. The Bobcats made short work of a struggling Southern Miss team over the weekend, notching 703 yards (437 passing), 10.7 yards per play, and 33 first downs. Texas State has outscored opponents by a combined 96-20 over the last two games.
As for Georgia State, they mustered 411 yards (346 passing) with 23 first downs against Arkansas State in their last game, but also had two turnovers and went just 2-of-14 on third downs. The defense gave up 261 yards on the ground but did pretty well on third downs themselves (3-of-13). That makes 20 points or fewer in four of the last six games—an 0-6 run for the Panthers. I don’t think they’ll get close enough to cover here either.