Florida (2-3) vs Texas A&M (5-0)
October 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas A&M -7.5 — Over/Under: 0.0001
The Florida Gators and the Texas A&M Aggies meet Saturday in college football action from Kyle Field. Here’s a Florida vs Texas A&M prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Florida vs Texas A&M pick. We will examine:
The Florida Gators recent form and player performance
The Texas A&M Aggies recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Florida Gators
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas A&M Aggies
Recent betting trends in games played between Florida and Texas A&M
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Florida vs Texas A&M game
The Gators had some tough matchups in their first four games this year, and it led to a 1-3 record during that quartet. Florida blew past LIU 55-0 for a big win in their opener, then fell to South Florida 18-16 in a tough result at home. A pair of losses to ranked teams came next as the Gators dropped to LSU 20-10 and Miami 26-7. In the loss to the Hurricanes, the Gators collected just 141 total yards with seven first downs and a futile 0-of-13 success rate on third-down conversion attempts.
In their game versus Texas last weekend, Florida jumped out to a 10-0 lead after the first quarter. The Gators would allow touchdowns in each of the final three frames, but still held on for the upset win 29-21. QB DJ Lagway was 21-of-28 for 298 yards, two scores and a pick. Top rusher Jadan Baugh finished with 27 carries for 107 yards and a touchdown, while Dallas Wilson led the receivers on six catches for 111 yards and two touchdowns.
Over on the Texas A&M side, they had significantly more success during their first four games this year. The Aggies powered past UTSA 42-24 in the opener, then beat Utah State 44-22 in game two. The road matchup versus Notre Dame turned into a 41-40 escape, then Texas A&M posted another close win over Auburn 16-10. In the win over the Tigers the Aggies defense held the opposition to 177 total yards and 0-of-13 on third downs alongside nine first downs.
Matched up against Mississippi State last weekend, the Aggies carried a modest 7-3 edge into the locker room. In the second half Texas A&M hit a 24-6 advantage however, and powered out the sizable win 31-9 in the end. QB Marcel Reed finished 13-of-23 for 180 yards, two scores and an interception, while Rueben Owens carried 21 times for 142 yards as the leading rusher. Mario Craver logged six catches for 80 yards as the team’s top receiver in the victory.
Heading into Week 7, Cashius Howell leads the league for sacks (7.0) this season.
Florida Gators Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 7, Vernell Brown III leads Florida for receptions (21) this season.
Texas A&M ranks T16th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (4.0).
Texas A&M ranks 18th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.6).
Florida ranks T10th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (69).
Florida ranks 121st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (8.2).
I’ll stay with the Aggies, but I’d understand an argument the other way. Texas A&M is coming off a pretty routine win over a decent Mississippi State team last weekend, posting 479 yards (299 rushing), 6.2 yards per play and 23 first downs along the way. The defense was great, holding the Bulldogs to just 14 first downs and 1-of-10 on third-down conversions alongside two takeaways. If there’s a complaint to be made, it’s the nine penalties or the slow initial start. Otherwise there’s not much to whine about; it was Texas A&M’s fourth game so far this year with at least 31 points scored.
As for Florida, they’re riding high after a big home upset win. The Gators posted a couple of turnovers in that one and committed seven penalties but there’s really not much to complain about otherwise in that one. It was a nice bounce-back win after a three-game skid, but Florida has to find ways to score more points this year. They’ve been at 16 or below in three of five (admittedly difficult) outings.
The Florida Gators recent form and player performance
The Texas A&M Aggies recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Florida Gators
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas A&M Aggies
Recent betting trends in games played between Florida and Texas A&M
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Florida vs Texas A&M game
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Gators had some tough matchups in their first four games this year, and it led to a 1-3 record during that quartet. Florida blew past LIU 55-0 for a big win in their opener, then fell to South Florida 18-16 in a tough result at home. A pair of losses to ranked teams came next as the Gators dropped to LSU 20-10 and Miami 26-7. In the loss to the Hurricanes, the Gators collected just 141 total yards with seven first downs and a futile 0-of-13 success rate on third-down conversion attempts.
In their game versus Texas last weekend, Florida jumped out to a 10-0 lead after the first quarter. The Gators would allow touchdowns in each of the final three frames, but still held on for the upset win 29-21. QB DJ Lagway was 21-of-28 for 298 yards, two scores and a pick. Top rusher Jadan Baugh finished with 27 carries for 107 yards and a touchdown, while Dallas Wilson led the receivers on six catches for 111 yards and two touchdowns.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
Over on the Texas A&M side, they had significantly more success during their first four games this year. The Aggies powered past UTSA 42-24 in the opener, then beat Utah State 44-22 in game two. The road matchup versus Notre Dame turned into a 41-40 escape, then Texas A&M posted another close win over Auburn 16-10. In the win over the Tigers the Aggies defense held the opposition to 177 total yards and 0-of-13 on third downs alongside nine first downs.
Matched up against Mississippi State last weekend, the Aggies carried a modest 7-3 edge into the locker room. In the second half Texas A&M hit a 24-6 advantage however, and powered out the sizable win 31-9 in the end. QB Marcel Reed finished 13-of-23 for 180 yards, two scores and an interception, while Rueben Owens carried 21 times for 142 yards as the leading rusher. Mario Craver logged six catches for 80 yards as the team’s top receiver in the victory.
Florida Gators @ Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends: Week 7
Texas A&M Aggies Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 7, Cashius Howell leads the league for sacks (7.0) this season.
Florida Gators Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 7, Vernell Brown III leads Florida for receptions (21) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Texas A&M ranks T16th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (4.0).
Texas A&M ranks 18th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.6).
Florida ranks T10th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (69).
Florida ranks 121st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (8.2).
Florida vs Texas A&M Prediction
I’ll stay with the Aggies, but I’d understand an argument the other way. Texas A&M is coming off a pretty routine win over a decent Mississippi State team last weekend, posting 479 yards (299 rushing), 6.2 yards per play and 23 first downs along the way. The defense was great, holding the Bulldogs to just 14 first downs and 1-of-10 on third-down conversions alongside two takeaways. If there’s a complaint to be made, it’s the nine penalties or the slow initial start. Otherwise there’s not much to whine about; it was Texas A&M’s fourth game so far this year with at least 31 points scored.
As for Florida, they’re riding high after a big home upset win. The Gators posted a couple of turnovers in that one and committed seven penalties but there’s really not much to complain about otherwise in that one. It was a nice bounce-back win after a three-game skid, but Florida has to find ways to score more points this year. They’ve been at 16 or below in three of five (admittedly difficult) outings.