Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Florida Gators and the Ole Miss Rebels meet in week 12 college football action from Vaught Hemingway Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss Rebels prediction.

Florida Gators Recap

The Florida Gators come into this game looking to bounce back from their 38-7 loss at the hands of Kentucky last time out to sit at 3-6 this season. After this game, Florida will head home for a game against Tennessee.

Gators Drop Back-To-Back Games

DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,762 yards, 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on 64.5% passing while Jadan Baugh has 747 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns on the ground. Vernell Brown III has a team-high 33 catches for 473 yards while J. Michael Sturdivant has 264 receiving ayrds. Eugene Wilson III has 239 receiving yards with 3 TDs while Hayden Hansen has 208 receiving yards and four more Gators have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Myles Graham has a team-high 51 total tackles while Kamran James has a team-high 3.5 sacks this season. As a unit, Florida’s defense has combined for 16 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.

Ole Miss Rebels Recap

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game looking to add on to their 49-0 win over the Citadel last time out to sit at 9-1 this season. After this game, Ole Miss will have a bye before heading on the road for the Egg Bowl against Mississippi State.

Rebels Win 3 In A Row

Trinidad Chambliss has thrown for 2,356 yards, 13 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64% passing while Austin Simmons has 680 passing yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 58.6% passing. Kewan Lacy has a team-high 912 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns while Harrison Wallace III has a team-high 579 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Dae’Quan Wright has 25 grabs for 449 yards and 4 touchdowns while Deuce Alexander has 30 catches for 467 yards. De’Zhaun Stribling has 391 receiving yards and 2 TDs while Cayden Lee has 412 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. On defense, TJ Dottery has a team-high 63 total tackles while Princewill Umanmielen has a team-high 4.5 sacks. As a unit, Ole Miss has combined for 21 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.

Florida Gators @ Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Ole Miss has won each of its last 10 games at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
• Florida has lost each of its last four road games.
• Florida has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games.
• Ole Miss has covered the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• Ole Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
• Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as a home favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Florida’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Eleven of Ole Miss’ last 12 home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Florida’s last five games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

Ole Miss Rebels Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Kewan Lacy ranks T1st amongst FBS players for touchdowns (16) this season.

Florida Gators Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Jadan Baugh ranks 2nd in the Southeastern Conference amongst qualified players for catch rate (84.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Ole Miss has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Ole Miss ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.3).
• Florida has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last six games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
• Florida ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (7.1).

Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction

I’m on Ole Miss here. I wonder at a certain point when Ole Miss prioritizes health going forward, but the SEC is a mess at the top right now and if Alabama and A&M win out, that’s your SEC championship game. So Ole Miss needs to keep racking up wins and style points to impress the playoff committee. Florida just looks dead after last week, and while this is their last chance at obtaining bowl eligibility, I don’t think it’ll be enough. Give me the Rebels.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Ole Miss -11.5