| MATCHUP | California Golden Bears | Hawai'i Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Spread | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -102 | -118 |
| Total | Over 50.5 (-115) | Under 50.5 (-105) |
| When | Wednesday, December 24, 2025 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Cal Golden Bears Betting Preview
The Cal Golden Bears beat SMU and lost to Stanford. Cal has split its last 104 games. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 3,117 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Trond Grizzell and Jacob De Jesus have combined for 1,582 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Mason Mini has 35 receptions.
The Cal Golden Bears ground game is averaging 76.5 yards per contest, and Kendrick Raphael leads the way with 853 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Cal is allowing 26.5 points and 359 yards per game. Cade Uluave leads the Cal Golden Bears with 88 tackles, TJ Bush Jr. has 5.5 sacks and Hezekiah Masses has 5 interceptions.
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors beat Wyoming and lost to UNLV. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have won 7 of their last 10 games. Micah Alejado is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 2,832 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Pofele Ashlock and Jackson Harris have combined for 1,667 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns, while Brandon White has 37 receptions.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 104 yards per contest, and Landon Sims leads the way with 523 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 23.5 points and 351 yards per game. Peter Manuma leads the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with 72 tackles, Jackie Johnson III has 7.5 sacks and Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen has 2 interceptions.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- Hawaii has won 20 of its last 21 games as a home favorite.
- California has lost three of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Hawaii has covered the spread in 11 of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.
- California has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the California Golden Bears will win
- California has won seven of its last nine games against non-conference opponents.
- Hawaii has lost six of its last eight home games against teams from California.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of California’s last three games.
- Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine games as a home favorite against teams from California.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Hawaii’s last eight home games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of California’s last four games in December have gone UNDER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
- Heading into the bowl games, Kansei Matsuzawa ranks T1st amongst FBS players for made field goals (25) this season.
California Golden Bears Player Prop Facts
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has recorded 30+ completions in three consecutive games (including postseason) – longest streak in the FBS, heading into the bowl games.
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks 10th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (289.7).
- Hawaii ranks 126th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (104.0).
- California ranks T110th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-2.1).
- California ranks T109th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (8.1).
California vs Hawai’i Prediction
Cal has a flashy pass offense, but the bottom line is this has been an average at best team on both sides of the ball. Cal hasn’t won back-to-back games since September 13. Hawaii has the same explosive passing attack, but it’s slightly sharper on both sides of the ball in terms of scoring offense and scoring defense.
Hawaii is 6-1 SU at home and has always been a tough out on the island dating back to even when this program wasn’t good. Hawaii is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games as a favorite. Hawaii is 12-4 SU in its last 16 home games. Hawaii is 8-4 ATS on the season, while Cal is 5-7 ATS on the season. Hawaii is strong at home and should be excited to host a bowl game. The line isn’t large enough to give Cal a fair look. Give me Hawaii.

