California (3-1) vs Boston College (1-2)
September 27, 2025 at 03:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston College -6.5 — Over/Under: +52
In this article we will formulate a California vs Boston College prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 27th at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 5 matchup.
California Golden Bears Betting Preview
The California Golden Bears are 3-1 (0-0) this year after they lost to San Diego State by a score of 34-0 in their last game. California trailed 13-0 at halftime and never got their offense going in the shutout loss. The Golden Bears were out gained by a total of 321-289, went 6-17 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 3-0 in the game. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele went 17-38 for 208 yards and two interceptions, while LJ Johnson Jr ran 10 times for 39 yards. Trond Grizzell caught four passes for 91 yards in the game. The Cal defense recorded one sack and six tackles for loss in the defeat.
California does have wins over Oregon State by a score 34-15, Texas Southern by a score of 35-3, and Minnesota by a score of 27-14. The Golden Bears are averaging 24.0 points per game with 257.8 passing yards and 105.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 16.5 points against per game this season. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has completed 61.1% of his passes for 988 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Trond Grizzell has caught 15 passes for 266 yards and one score. Kendrick Raphael has led the rushing attack with 228 yards and one touchdown on 50 carries this year.
Boston College Eagles Betting Preview
The Boston College Eagles are 1-2 (0-1) this season after they lost to Stanford by a score of 30-20 in their last game. Boston College trailed 6-0 after the first quarter, but they were tied at 20 at halftime, before getting shutout in the second half for the loss. The Eagles were out gained by a total of 399-389, went 5-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 3-0. Dylan Lonergan went 30-44 for 333 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Turbo Richard rushed 14 times for 55 yards. Reed Harris was the leading receiver for BC with seven catches for 141 yards in the game. The Boston College defense recorded one sack and three tackles for loss in the defeat.
Boston College opened the season with a 66-10 win over Fordham, but they lost their second game by a score of 42-40 in overtime against Michigan State. The Eagles are averaging 42.0 points per game with 393.7 passing yards and 73.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 27.3 points against per game this season. Dylan Lonergan has completed 73.2% of his passes for 991 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception, while Lewis Bond has caught 29 passes for 275 yards. Turbo Richard is the Boston College leading rusher with 158 yards and two scores on 43 carries this season.
Why Boston College will beat California
Boston College has won eight of its last nine games in Massachusetts.
California has lost six of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Boston College has covered the spread in each of its last five games at Alumni Stadium (Boston).
California has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Boston College has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Alumni Stadium (Boston).
Total Points Facts
Each of Boston College’s last 10 games against conference opponents at Alumni Stadium (Boston) have gone OVER the total points line.
Six of California’s last seven games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Boston College ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (16.0).
Boston College ranks T19th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (49).
California ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.5).
California ranks 122nd among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (105.3).
California vs Boston College Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup after disappointing losses last time out, so one side will get a huge win here. California started the season with three very solid wins, but they laid a huge egg against a below average SDSU team last week. Boston College also picked up a bad loss against Stanford in their last game, but they are coming off of a bye week and will be at home. I don’t trust either team in this game, but I can’t take Cal on a long road trip after how they played last week. Take the Eagles at home.
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