| MATCHUP | Buffalo Bulls | Penn State Nittany Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Where | Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA | |
| When | Saturday, September 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | BTN | |
Penn State Nittany Lions Preview
Penn State has a 2-0 record this season and are coming off a 27-9 road win against Temple. Offensively, Penn State averages 36 points per game, ranking 55th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 4.5 points per game, which is 1st. Penn State averages 451.5 total yards per game (296 passing and 155.5 rushing), while allowing 215 total yards per game (110 rushing and 105 passing).
Rocco Becht leads Penn State with 539 passing yards with 75.6% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Carson Hansen leads the team in rushing yards with 132, while Koby Howard has a team-high 9 receptions for 229 receiving yards. Defensively, Tony Rojas has a team-high 14 total tackles (11 of them solo), while Tony Rojas leads the team with one sack.
Buffalo Bulls Preview
Buffalo has a 1-1 record this season and are coming off a 20-33 road loss against Florida International. Offensively, Buffalo averages 20.5 points per game, ranking 109th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25 points per game, which is 78th. Buffalo averages 321 total yards per game (219 passing and 102 rushing), while allowing 408 total yards per game (113 rushing and 295 passing).
Elijah Holmes leads Buffalo with 253 passing yards with 57.4% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Messiah Burch leads the team in rushing yards with 90, while Chance Morrow has a team-high 18 receptions for 221 receiving yards. Defensively, Stevie Bracey has a team-high 16 total tackles (8 of them solo), while Stevie Bracey leads the team with one sack.
Buffalo Bulls @ Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Trends: Week 3
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- Penn State has won each of its last 32 games against non-conference opponents at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium.
- Buffalo has lost each of its last five games against opponents from the Big Ten Conference.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games in September.
- Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last three home games.
- Penn State has won the first half in each of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
- Penn State has won the first quarter in 18 of its last 19 games against non-conference opponents at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium.
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Buffalo has won five of its last six games against teams from Pennsylvania.
- Penn State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last three games against opponents from the Big Ten Conference.
- Buffalo has won the first half in each of its last six games against teams from Pennsylvania.
Total Points Facts
- Four of Buffalo’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Penn State’s last five games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Penn State Nittany Lions Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Zay Robinson ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Chance Morrow ranks T1st amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Penn State ranks T1st among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (4.5).
- Penn State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Buffalo has lost the first quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Buffalo has lost the third quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
Buffalo vs Penn State Prediction
In this Buffalo vs Penn State Prediction, Penn State is coming as -38.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in the previous week and Penn State has been undefeated so far, having the best defense in the entire country, holding its opponents into just 4.5 points per game. On the flip side, Buffalo sits outside the top-100 in points scored and they have trouble producing offense in this game. They have also failed to cover the spread in both of their game this season, so I expect a comfortably victory for the home team. Take Penn State and lay the -38.5 points.