Ohio (4-3) vs Buffalo (4-3)
Game Info: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Peden Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Ohio -4.5 / Buffalo +4.5 — Over/Under:
The Buffalo Bulls and the Ohio Bobcats meet Saturday in college football action from Peden Stadium. Here’s a Buffalo vs Ohio prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Buffalo vs Ohio pick. We will examine:
The Buffalo Bulls’ recent form and player performance
The Ohio Bobcats’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Buffalo Bulls
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Ohio Bobcats
Recent betting trends in games played between Buffalo and Ohio
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Buffalo vs Ohio game
Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview
The Bulls took a 38-0 blowout loss to Missouri in their second game of the season but otherwise beat Lafayette, UMass, and Northern Illinois for a 3-1 start. After another loss 47-3 to UConn, Buffalo dispatched Toledo 30-15.
In the Western Michigan game last weekend, the Bulls were down 28-17 going into the second half and ended up falling 48-41 in a tough outcome. Quarterback CJ Ogbonna finished on 309 yards and two scores. Al-Jay Henderson led the rush with 12 carries for 97 yards and a TD.
Ohio Bobcats Betting Preview
Over on the Bobcats’ side, they went 2-2 over their first four outings. The wins were over South Alabama and Morgan State; otherwise, it was losses to Syracuse and Kentucky. Ohio would win their next pair though, taking out Akron and Central Michigan.
In their matchup with Miami-OH, the Bobcats showed some life in the second half but ultimately were too far behind in a 30-20 defeat. Parker Navarro threw for 88 yards and two interceptions while also leading the rush on 38 yards from 11 carries.
Why the Ohio Bobcats will win
- Ohio has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Peden Stadium.
- Buffalo has lost each of its last three road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Ohio has covered the spread in each of its last four games against Buffalo at Peden Stadium.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams at Peden Stadium.
- Ohio has won the first half in 15 of its last 20 games against conference opponents.
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Buffalo has won four of its last five October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Ohio has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games in October.
- Buffalo has covered the spread in four of its last five road games in October.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Buffalo’s last eight road games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Ohio’s last six October games as a home favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ohio ranks T114th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-3.4).
- Ohio ranks 112th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.7).
- Buffalo ranks 127th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (157.3).
- Buffalo ranks T127th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-6.6).
Buffalo vs Ohio Prediction
I’ll stick with Buffalo. The Bulls took a tough loss over the weekend despite notching 551 total yards (309 passing) and 8.1 yards per play. Buffalo wasn’t great on third downs (4-of-12) and gave up 489 yards on defense (280 passing). The Bulls have scored at least 30 points in four of their seven games this season, though.
As for Ohio, they posted 291 yards (181 passing) with 21 first downs in their loss to Miami-OH. The two interceptions didn’t help the offense, though. The Bobcats have given up a combined 55 points over the last two games, so Buffalo should have some opportunities to score if they can get their O moving.