Baylor (4-2) vs TCU (4-2)
October 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: TCU -3 — Over/Under: 0.0001
The Baylor Bears and the TCU Horned Frogs meet Saturday in college football action from Amon G Carter Stadium. Here’s a Baylor vs TCU prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Baylor vs TCU pick. We will examine:
The Baylor Bears recent form and player performance
The TCU Horned Frogs recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baylor Bears
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the TCU Horned Frogs
Recent betting trends in games played between Baylor and TCU
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Baylor vs TCU game
The Bears’ season opened up with a loss as they fell 38-24 at home versus Auburn. Baylor was able to rally for wins in the next pair however, taking out SMU in OT and Samford in a blowout. Following a loss to Arizona State, the Bears were able to get past Oklahoma State 45-27 in a road matchup. In that one the Bears offense had a field day, racking up 612 total yards, 8.3 yards per play, 29 first downs and a 7-of-14 success rate on third-down tries.
In their latest outing back on October 4, the Bears were able to pull off another win—but this one was much closer. Baylor was down 31-17 going into the final frame, then posted an 18-3 run to secure the victory 35-34. QB Sawyer Robertson finished 25-of-39 for 345 yards, two scores and a pick, while Bryson Washington carried nine times for 65 yards. Leading receiver Michael Trigg added eight catches for 155 yards total during the comeback win.
Over on the Frogs’ side, they’ve got six games in the books so far this year. TCU managed wins in the first three of those, dispatching North Carolina, Abilene Christian and SMU each by double-digits. TCU’s first loss came on September 26 versus Arizona State, then came a 35-21 home win over Colorado. In that one the Frogs scored 21 points in the fourth quarter alone, racking up 369 total yards on offense with 23 first downs. The defense came away with four takeaways on the other side as well.
In last weekend’s meeting with Kansas State, the Frogs posted a 14-7 deficit in both the second and third quarters, eventually falling on the road 41-28 in the end. QB Josh Hoover was 26-of-47 for 376 yards, three scores and two picks. Leading rusher Kevorian Barnes carried 12 times for 81 yards, and Eric McAlister caught four balls for 156 yards and two of the touchdowns in the defeat.
Heading into Week 8, Eric McAlister ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (7) this season.
Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 8, Sawyer Robertson ranks 1st amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (19) this season.
TCU ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.7).
TCU ranks 11th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (53.8).
Three of Baylor’s six games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
Baylor ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (15.2).
I’m going to stay with TCU. The Frogs could certainly use a good bounce-back effort here following a fairly rough outing on the road versus a middling Kansas State team last weekend, though. TCU’s offense rushed for a tepid 72 yards alongside three turnovers and 6-of-13 on third-down conversions. On defense the Frogs gave up 343 yards and 20 first downs along with 2-of-2 on fourth-down conversions. The eight penalties didn’t help matters either. TCU has now lost two of their last three games but they’re still scoring well overall. The Frogs have 24 or more points in all six outings this year. That said, they’re still giving up quite a bit on the other side to capable offenses.
As for Baylor, they got a little extra time to rest and prep for this one. In their latest outing, the Bears gave up a lot to Kansas State; specifically 501 total yards, 30 first downs and 8-of-16 o third-down tries. Baylor has been scoring quite well so far this year however, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see a high total here.
The Baylor Bears recent form and player performance
The TCU Horned Frogs recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baylor Bears
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the TCU Horned Frogs
Recent betting trends in games played between Baylor and TCU
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Baylor vs TCU game
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
The Bears’ season opened up with a loss as they fell 38-24 at home versus Auburn. Baylor was able to rally for wins in the next pair however, taking out SMU in OT and Samford in a blowout. Following a loss to Arizona State, the Bears were able to get past Oklahoma State 45-27 in a road matchup. In that one the Bears offense had a field day, racking up 612 total yards, 8.3 yards per play, 29 first downs and a 7-of-14 success rate on third-down tries.
In their latest outing back on October 4, the Bears were able to pull off another win—but this one was much closer. Baylor was down 31-17 going into the final frame, then posted an 18-3 run to secure the victory 35-34. QB Sawyer Robertson finished 25-of-39 for 345 yards, two scores and a pick, while Bryson Washington carried nine times for 65 yards. Leading receiver Michael Trigg added eight catches for 155 yards total during the comeback win.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview
Over on the Frogs’ side, they’ve got six games in the books so far this year. TCU managed wins in the first three of those, dispatching North Carolina, Abilene Christian and SMU each by double-digits. TCU’s first loss came on September 26 versus Arizona State, then came a 35-21 home win over Colorado. In that one the Frogs scored 21 points in the fourth quarter alone, racking up 369 total yards on offense with 23 first downs. The defense came away with four takeaways on the other side as well.
In last weekend’s meeting with Kansas State, the Frogs posted a 14-7 deficit in both the second and third quarters, eventually falling on the road 41-28 in the end. QB Josh Hoover was 26-of-47 for 376 yards, three scores and two picks. Leading rusher Kevorian Barnes carried 12 times for 81 yards, and Eric McAlister caught four balls for 156 yards and two of the touchdowns in the defeat.
Baylor Bears @ TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends: Week 8
TCU Horned Frogs Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 8, Eric McAlister ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (7) this season.
Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 8, Sawyer Robertson ranks 1st amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
TCU ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.7).
TCU ranks 11th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (53.8).
Three of Baylor’s six games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
Baylor ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (15.2).
Baylor vs TCU Prediction
I’m going to stay with TCU. The Frogs could certainly use a good bounce-back effort here following a fairly rough outing on the road versus a middling Kansas State team last weekend, though. TCU’s offense rushed for a tepid 72 yards alongside three turnovers and 6-of-13 on third-down conversions. On defense the Frogs gave up 343 yards and 20 first downs along with 2-of-2 on fourth-down conversions. The eight penalties didn’t help matters either. TCU has now lost two of their last three games but they’re still scoring well overall. The Frogs have 24 or more points in all six outings this year. That said, they’re still giving up quite a bit on the other side to capable offenses.
As for Baylor, they got a little extra time to rest and prep for this one. In their latest outing, the Bears gave up a lot to Kansas State; specifically 501 total yards, 30 first downs and 8-of-16 o third-down tries. Baylor has been scoring quite well so far this year however, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see a high total here.