Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction 10/25/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction for this College Football Week 9 game on Saturday, October 25th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Cincinnati Bearcats Preview

Cincinnati has a 6-1 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the Big 12. They are 5-2 ATS, 5-2 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 2-0 away record. Cincinnati is coming off a 49-17 road win against Oklahoma State and will face Utah, Arizona and BYU next.

Offensively, Cincinnati averages 37.9 points per game, ranking 15th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 18.9 points per game, which is 26th. Cincinnati averages 446.4 total yards per game (261.0 passing and 185.4 rushing), while allowing 383.4 total yards per game (143.3 rushing and 240.1 passing).

Brendan Sorsby leads Cincinnati with 1,718 passing yards with 65.4% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Evan Pryor leads the team in rushing yards with 412, while Cyrus Allen has a team-high 30 receptions for 331 receiving yards. Defensively, Jake Golday has a team-high 62 total tackles (28 of them solo), while Jake Golday leads the team in sacks, with 3.0, and Matthew McDoom has a team-high 1 interception.

Baylor Bears Preview

Baylor has a 4-3 record this season and is sitting 8th in the Big 12. They are 1-6 ATS, 5-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-2 home record and a 2-1 away record. Baylor is coming off a 36-42 road loss against Texas Christian and will face UCF, Utah and Arizona next.

Offensively, Baylor averages 36.3 points per game, ranking 25th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.4 points per game, which is 118th. Baylor averages 486.1 total yards per game (344.3 passing and 141.9 rushing), while allowing 407.0 total yards per game (179.9 rushing and 227.1 passing).

Sawyer Robertson leads Baylor with 2,376 passing yards with 61.0% completed passes and 21 touchdowns. Bryson Washington leads the team in rushing yards with 580, while Josh Cameron has a team-high 40 receptions for 542 receiving yards. Defensively, Keaton Thomas has a team-high 63 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Jackie Marshall leads the team in sacks, with 2.0, and Jacob Redding has a team-high 2 interceptions.

Baylor Bears @ Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won each of its last six games.
• Baylor has lost 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked teams.
• Baylor has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
• Cincinnati has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
• Cincinnati has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Cincinnati has won the first quarter in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Baylor has won eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
• The team ranked 21st in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in five of Baylor’s last six games.
• Baylor has won the first half in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Baylor’s last seven games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Cincinnati’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.

Cincinnati Bearcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Brendan Sorsby ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.1%) this season.

Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Sawyer Robertson ranks 1st amongst FBS players for passing yards (2376) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cincinnati ranks 136th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (24:01).
• Cincinnati ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Baylor has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Baylor has scored 35+ points in three road games this season – most of any FBS team.

Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction

In their only previous meeting in 2023, Baylor won 32-29 on the road. In this Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction, Cincinnati is coming as -4.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 67.5 points. Cincinnati has been red-hot this season, having won their last six games following a loss in their season opener, while on the flip side, Baylor has been terrible against the spread with a 1-6 record. Cincinnati is a top-26 team both offensively and defensively, winning by an average of 19 points per game, so I expect them to get the job done today at home. Take the Cincinnati Bearcats and lay the -4.5 points in this one.