| MATCHUP | Baylor Bears | Auburn Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spread | +7.5 -112 | -7.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +240 | -298 |
| Total | Over 58.5 (-115) | Under 58.5 (-105) |
| Where | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA | |
| When | Saturday, September 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ABC | |
Auburn Preview
Auburn finished last season with a 5-7 overall record, a 1-7 conference record, and placed 14th in the SEC. They had a 3-4 home record and a 2-3 road record. Offensively, the Tigers scored 26.8 points per game (ranking 74th in the nation). Defensively, Auburn allowed 20.7 points per game (ranking 34th in the nation). They averaged 373.9 total yards per game (176.8 rushing, 197.1 passing) and gave up 329.2 total yards per game (99.3 rushing, 229.8 passing).
Jackson Arnold led the Tigers with 136/215 completed passes and 1,309 total passing yards, throwing 20 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jeremiah Cobb led the team in rushing yards with 696, adding a team-high 5 rushing touchdowns, while Cam Coleman had a team-high 56 caught passes for 708 receiving yards and 5 receiving touchdowns. Defensively, Xavier Atkins led the team with 84 total tackles (60 solo), while Xavier Atkins led Auburn in sacks with 9.0.
Baylor Preview
Baylor finished last season with a 5-7 overall record, a 3-6 conference record, and placed 11th in the Big 12. They had a 3-4 home record and a 2-3 road record. Offensively, the Bears scored 31.1 points per game (ranking 33rd in the nation). Defensively, Baylor allowed 32.6 points per game (ranking 122nd in the nation). They averaged 451.1 total yards per game (141.5 rushing, 309.6 passing) and gave up 392.2 total yards per game (197.3 rushing, 194.9 passing).
Sawyer Robertson led the Bears with 304/450 completed passes and 3,681 total passing yards, throwing 31 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Bryson Washington led the team in rushing yards with 788, adding a team-high 6 rushing touchdowns, while Josh Cameron had a team-high 69 caught passes for 987 receiving yards and 7 receiving touchdowns. Defensively, Keaton Thomas led the team with 105 total tackles (59 solo), while Emar’rion Winston led Baylor in sacks with 3.0.
Baylor Bears @ Auburn Tigers Betting Trends: Week 1
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Auburn has won each of its last nine season openers.
- Baylor has lost five of its last six games.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games.
- Auburn has covered the spread in seven of its last eight season openers.
- Auburn has won the first half in each of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
- Auburn has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Auburn has lost seven of its last eight games in Georgia.
- Baylor has won three of its last four September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight September games as a favorite.
- Baylor has covered the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog at neutral venues.
- Auburn has lost the first half in each of its last five games played at neutral venues.
- Baylor has won the first quarter in three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Baylor’s last eight games as an underdog at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of Auburn’s last eight games in Georgia have gone UNDER the total points line.
Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Byrum Brown has thrown three or more touchdown passes in two consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.
Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts
- Gavin Freeman led Oklahoma State for touchdowns (4) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Auburn ranked 11th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game last season (99.3).
- Auburn ranked 124th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against last season (68.2).
- Baylor ranked 4th among FBS teams for passing yards per game last season (309.6).
- Baylor ranked 8th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game last season (10.5).
Baylor vs Auburn Prediction
In this Baylor vs Auburn Prediction, Auburn is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Both teams had identical records last season and identical home/away splits, but the Tigers had a top-35 defense and a +6.1 point differential. On the flip side, Baylor had a terrible defensive line and they ranked on the bottom-15 in points allowed with 32.6 and had a negative point differential. Auburn is projected at #36 for this season while Baylor is way lower at #55. Take Auburn and lay the points at home in this one.