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Arkansas vs Ole Miss Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Aug 30, 2025; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Arkansas Razorbacks quarterback Taylen Green (10) rushes during the first quarter against the Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

Aug 30, 2025; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Arkansas Razorbacks quarterback Taylen Green (10) rushes during the first quarter against the Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

Arkansas (2-0) vs Ole Miss (2-0)

September 13, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Ole Miss -7 — Over/Under: +61.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Ole Miss Rebels meet in week 3 college football action from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebels prediction.

Arkansas Razorbacks Recap

The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this game looking to add on to their 56-14 beatdown win over Arkansas State last time out to sit at 2-0 on the year. After this game, Arkansas will head on the road once again for a game against the Memphis Tigers. 

Razorbacks Looking For Huge Road Win

Taylen Green has thrown for 561 yards, 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 71.9% passing while also rushing for 192 yards and a touchdown. Mike Washington Jr. has 195 rushing yards with a touchdown to lead the Hogs on the ground, while O’Mega Blake has a team-high 12 catches for 185 yards and 2 touchdowns. CJ Brown, Raylen Sharpe and Jalen Brown all have 2 receiving TDs as well on the year. On defense, Xavian Sorey Jr. has a team-high 16 total tackles with an interception, while Quincy Rhodes Jr. has a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Arkansas has combined for 6 sacks and a pair of interceptions this season. 

Ole Miss Recap

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game looking to add on to their 30-23 win over the Kentucky Wildcats last time out to sit at 2-0 on the year. After this game, Ole Miss will square off against the Tulane Green Wave at home.

Rebels Looking To Remain Unbeaten At Home

Austin Simmons has thrown for 576 yards, 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60% passing while Kewan Lacy has rushed for 246 yards and 4 touchdowns so far this season. Harrison Wallace III has a team-high 9 receptions for 247 yards and a touchdown while TJ Dottery has a team-high 15 total tackles and Zxavian Harris has a pair of sacks. As a unit, Ole Miss has combined for 4 sacks and an interception so far this season.

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends: Week 3

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

  • Ole Miss has won 18 of its last 19 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arkansas has lost 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Ole Miss has covered the spread in five of its last six home games in September.
  • Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Ole Miss has won the first half in 16 of its last 18 home games against conference opponents.
  • Ole Miss has won the first quarter in 11 of its last 14 home games against conference opponents.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

  • Arkansas has won four of its last five games.
  • Arkansas has covered the spread in eight of its last nine September games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Ole Miss’ last four home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of Arkansas’ last six games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Ole Miss Rebels Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 3, Kewan Lacy leads the Southeastern Conference for touchdowns (4) this season.

Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 3, Taylen Green ranks T1st amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ole Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
  • Ole Miss ranks 6th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (575.0).
  • Arkansas ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Arkansas ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction

I’m on the Razorbacks here. I just think that this isn’t the same Ole Miss team that we’re used to seeing in years past. Sure, the Rebels are still going to be a team to garner that respect because it’s Ole Miss, but the thing here is that the QB play that Ole Miss tends to rely on at times in that pass attack is still a bit flawed in my eyes. I just feel like Arkansas has the better QB play with Taylen Green in year two of this Arkansas system, and I think Arkansas is live in this game. Give me the Razorbacks and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Arkansas +7

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