Appalachian State vs Marshall Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Marshall (2-2) vs Appalachian State (2-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Joan C. Edwards Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Marshall -3 / Appalachian State +3 — Over/Under: 58.5

In this article, we will formulate an Appalachian State vs Marshall prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 5th at Joan C. Edwards Stadium in Huntington, West Virginia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Preview

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are 2-2 (0-1) this season after they lost to South Alabama by a score of 48-14 in their last game. Appalachian State scored late in the first half to cut the deficit to 28-7 at halftime, but they allowed the first 20 points in the second half for the blowout loss. The Mountaineers were outgained by a total of 474-385, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. Joey Aguilar threw for 266 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Maquel Haywood rushed for 47 yards and one score.

Appalachian State defeated ETSU and East Carolina earlier in the season, but they also lost 66-20 against Clemson in their second game. Appalachian State had their last game canceled against Liberty due to weather. The App State offense has scored 23.3 points per game with 307.5 passing yards and 130.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 35.8 points per game this season. The Mountaineers have gone 37.7% on third down and 1-4 on fourth down through four games. Joey Aguilar has completed 56.7% of his passes for 1,230 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Kaedin Robinson has rushed for 375 yards.

Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Preview

The Marshall Thundering Herd are 2-2 (0-0) this year after they defeated Western Michigan by a score of 27-20 last week. Marshall led 17-3 at halftime but needed the game-winning touchdown with about eight minutes left in the game for the win. The Thundering Herd outgained WMU by a total of 420-318, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-12 on third down in the game. Stone Earle threw for 177 yards and three touchdowns, while AJ Turner rushed for 124 yards on nine carries.

Marshall opened the season with a win over Stony Brook but lost to Virginia Tech and Ohio State in the two games after that. The Marshall offense has scored 25 points per game with 184.3 passing yards and 193.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.8 points per game this season. The Thundering Herd have gone 38.6% on third down and 3-6 on fourth down so far this season. Stone Earle has completed 55.1% of his passes for 537 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception, while AJ Turner has rushed for 378 yards and one score.

Why Marshall will beat Appalachian State

Marshall has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Joan C. Edwards Stadium.
Appalachian State has lost each of its last three October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Marshall has covered the spread in each of its last four games at Joan C. Edwards Stadium.
Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games in October.

Total Points Facts

Each of Marshall’s last seven home games in October has gone UNDER the total points line.
Four of Appalachian State’s last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Marshall ranks 111th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (15.5).
Marshall ranks T107th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (77).
Appalachian State ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.5).
Appalachian State ranks 126th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (35.8).