Alcorn State (0-2) vs Mississippi State (2-0)
September 13, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State — Over/Under:
In this article we will formulate an Alcorn State vs Mississippi State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 13th at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup.
Alcorn State Braves Betting Preview
The Alcorn State Braves are 0-2 this year after they lost to Alabama A&M by a score of 41-31 last week. Alcorn State trailed 21-14 after the first quarter and 28-17 at halftime, but they did cut the deficit to 35-31 in the fourth quarter. The Braves couldn’t get any closer and allowed a touchdown with 19 seconds left to seal the loss. Alcorn State was out gained by a total of 452-354, went 4-12 on third down conversions, and tied the turnover battle at one in the loss. Jaylon Tolbert went 23-33 for 168 yards and one touchdown in the game. Jacorian Sewell rushed 12 times for 115 yards and one touchdown, while Jarvis Rush caught seven passes for 53 yards and one score in the defeat.
Alcorn State started the season with a 20-10 loss to Northwestern State on Thursday of week one. The Braves have scored 20.5 points per game this year, but they are allowing 30.5 points against per game on defense. The Alcorn State offense is averaging 175 passing yards per game and 132 rushing yards per game, while they are currently at a 31% third down conversion rate. Jaylon Tolbert has completed 54.5% of his passes for 350 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions for the Braves this year. Jacorian Sewell has rushed for 176 yards and one touchdown, while Tyran Warren has caught six passes for 76 yards this season.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-0 this season after they defeated Arizona State by a score of 24-20 last week. Mississippi State led 17-0 in the first half and 17-3 at halftime, but they trailed 20-17 late in the fourth. The Bulldogs got the ball back with about 90 seconds left and managed to score on a big play for the victory. Mississippi State out gained ASU by a total of 345-333, went 6-14 on third down conversions, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0. Blake Shapen went 19-33 for 279 yards and three touchdowns, while Brenen Thompson caught six passes for 133 yards and two scores in the win. The MSU ground game was led by Fluff Bothwell, who rushed eight times for 34 yards in the game.
Mississippi State defeated Southern Miss on the road by a score of 34-17 in week one. The Bulldogs are scoring 29.0 points per game this year, while they are allowing 18.5 points against per game. The Mississippi State offense is averaging 279 passing yards and 126 rushing yards per game this season. Blake Shapen has completed 68.2% of his passes for 551 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception so far this year. Davon Booth has rushed for 113 yards and one score, while Brenen Thompson has caught 13 passes for 225 yards and two touchdowns on the season.
Why Mississippi State will beat Alcorn State
Mississippi State has won 13 of its last 15 games against non-conference opponents.
Mississippi State has covered the spread in each of its last seven home games against non-FBS teams.
Total Points Facts
Each of Mississippi State’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams at Davis Wade Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Mississippi State ranks T7th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (3).
Mississippi State ranks 20th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (54.8).
David Racey is 20-15 (57%) in College Football this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!
Alcorn State vs Mississippi State Prediction
Mississippi State comes into this matchup with a ton of momentum after their big win over Arizona State, and they should get an easy win here. The Bulldogs have a very tough conference schedule this season, so they need to take advantage of the easier opponents. Alcorn State is 0-2 to start the year and I just don’t see how they are going to be competitive in this one. Take Mississippi State to cover this huge number.