Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 5, 2026; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell (12) takes a snap under center during the game with East Carolina at Saban Field in Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News
MATCHUP
Alabama Crimson Tide
Kentucky Wildcats
Team Records
1-0
1-0
Spread
-10 -105
+10 -115
Moneyline
-380
+300
Total
Over 48.5 (-108)
Under 48.5 (-112)
Where
Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
When
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Time
03:30 PM EDT
TV
ABC
The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in week 2 college football action from Kroger Field on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats Prediction.
Alabama Crimson Tide Recap
The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game looking to add on to their 48-10 win over East Carolina last time out to sit at 1-0 this season. After this game, the Crimson Tide will head home for a game against Florida State.
Crimson Tide Looking For Another Dominant Showing Vs. Wildcats
Keelon Russell threw for 256 yards on 18 of 30 passing while leading the ground game with 86 rushing yards and a TD on 13 carries. Daniel Hill rushed for 47 yards and 2 TDs on 9 carries while EJ Crowell added 37 rushing yards and a score and Trae’shawn Brown chipped in a rushing touchdown. Ryan Coleman-Williams had a team-high 130 receiving yards on 5 catches while Derek Meadows added 3 catches for 44 yards. On defense, Bray Hubbard, Dijon Lee Jr., Yhonzae Pierre, and Zabien Brown tied for a team-high 3 total tackles each, while Pierre anchored the unit with a sack, a tackle for loss, and a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown.
Kentucky Wildcats Recap
The Kentucky Wildcats come into this game looking to build on their 45-13 win over Youngstown State last time out to improve to 1-0 on the year. After this game, the Wildcats will head on the road for a game against Texas A&M.
Wildcats Looking For Home Upset
Kenny Minchey threw for 301 yards and 4 TDs on 18 of 27 passing while Jason Patterson led the ground attack with 78 rushing yards on 11 carries. CJ Baxter added 48 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 9 carries while Martels Carter Jr. chipped in 37 yards on 5 carries. Kenny Darby had a team-high 74 receiving yards and a TD on 3 catches while Mikkel Skinner added 4 catches for 61 yards and a touchdown. Willie Rodriguez added 4 catches for 48 yards and a TD while Prince Jean chipped in 27 receiving yards and a score. On defense, Isaiah McMillian, Elijah Barnes, Jordan Castell, and Grant Godfrey tied for a team-high 7 total tackles each, with Ahmad Breaux and Devin Smith each recording a sack to round out Kentucky’s defensive performance.
The home team has won each of Kentucky’s last five games.
Kentucky has covered the spread in each of its last seven September home games against AP-ranked teams.
Alabama has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road openers.
Kentucky has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight home games in September.
The home team has won the first half in each of Kentucky’s last five games.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
Alabama has won each of its last 10 games in September.
Kentucky has lost each of its last seven games against AP-ranked teams.
Alabama has covered the spread in each of its last six games in September.
Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against teams from Alabama.
Alabama has won the first quarter in each of its last eight games in September.
Alabama has won the first half in each of its last eight games in September.
Total Points Facts
Each of Alabama’s last four games against teams from Kentucky have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of Kentucky’s last four September games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Kentucky Wildcats Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 2, Mikkel Skinner ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Alabama Crimson Tide Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 2, Daniel Hill ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Kentucky ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Kentucky ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats Prediction
I’m leaning towards Kentucky and the points. I think Lexington’s going to be rocking for this new look Kentucky team and while Russell was fantastic in his debut, this is his first true road game as a freshman. I think that Kentucky could be a bit of a shock here and I could see this being a one-score game either way. Give me Kentucky and the points.
