San Diego State (3-8) vs Air Force (4-7)
Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 10:30 pm (Snapdragon Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State +3.5 / Air Force -3.5 — Over/Under: 43.5
The Air Force Falcons and the San Diego State Aztecs meet Saturday in college football action from Snapdragon Stadium. Here’s an Air Force vs San Diego State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Air Force vs San Diego State pick. We will examine:
The Air Force Falcons’ recent form and player performance
The San Diego State Aztecs’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Air Force Falcons
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs
Recent betting trends in games played between Air Force and San Diego State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Air Force vs San Diego State game
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Falcons beat Merrimack in their opener, then fell to San Jose State, Baylor, Wyoming, Navy, New Mexico, Colorado State, and Army before getting another W versus Fresno State. Air Force would get another win over Oregon State on November 16.
In their game against Nevada over the weekend, the Falcons were down 12-7 by the fourth quarter. Air Force posted a 15-7 run from there for the comeback win 22-19. Quentin Hayes had zero pass yards and a pick but did score on the ground. Owen Allen rushed 23 times for 107 yards and a TD.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
Over on the Aztecs’ side, they went 3-3 over their first six with wins over East Texas A&M, Hawaii, and Wyoming. San Diego State lost the next four to Washington State, Boise State, New Mexico, and UNLV during a tough stretch of games.
Matched up against Utah State on Saturday, the Aztecs were within one point at the break. San Diego State was outscored by 20 from there, however, resulting in a 41-20 loss. Danny O’Neil had 199 pass yards, while Marquez Cooper rushed 23 times for 118 yards and a score.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- Air Force has lost five of its last seven games as a favorite.
- San Diego State has won five of its last seven November games as a home underdog.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a favorite.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- San Diego State has lost seven of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Air Force has won each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between Air Force and San Diego State.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Six of San Diego State’s last seven games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Air Force’s last five November games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Air Force vs San Diego State Prediction
I’ll lean toward San Diego State. Probably not touching this one, though. The Aztecs couldn’t get out of their own way in their loss to Utah State, committing 12 penalties for 101 yards and giving up 322 rush yards on defense. The Aztecs are mired in a five-game losing streak and have scored fewer than 21 points in three straight.
As for Air Force, they posted 318 rush yards and exactly zero through the air in their three-point comeback win over Nevada. The Falcons have been below 23 points in three of the last five, but they’ve fared better overall on three straight wins. There are a lot of different ways this game could break, but if San Diego State can keep Air Force’s run game in check I think the Aztecs have a decent cover shot. I’m staying away, though.