Ole Miss (9-3) vs Duke (9-3)
Game Info: Thursday, January 2, 2025 at 7:30 pm (EverBank Stadium)
Betting Odds: Ole Miss -17 / Duke +17 --- Over/Under: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN
In this article we will formulate a Duke vs Ole Miss prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, January 2nd at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for the Gator Bowl.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
The Duke Blue Devils are 9-3 (5-3) this season after they defeated Wake Forest by a score of 23-17 in their last game. Duke trailed 17-3 at halftime, but they scored the last 20 points and won on a last second touchdown. The Blue Devils out gained Wake Forest by a total of 333-318, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Maalik Murphy threw for 235 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Jordan Moore caught five passes for 98 yards and one score.
Duke also has wins over Elon, Northwestern, UConn, Middle Tennessee, UNC, Florida State, NC State, and Virginia Tech, while losing to Georgia Tech, SMU, and Miami. The Duke offense has scored 28.3 points per game with 245.0 passing yards and 96.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.2 points against per game this season. Maalik Murphy is transferring, so Henry Belin IV will start at quarterback. Star Thomas, Duke’s leading rusher, is also not expected to play.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
The Ole Miss Rebels are 9-3 (5-3) this year after they defeated Mississippi State by a score of 26-14 in their last game. Ole Miss trailed 14-10 after the first quarter, but scored the last 16 points in the game for the win. The Rebels out gained Mississippi State by a total of 397-330, won the turnover battle 3-0, and went 8-18 on third down in the game. Jaxson Dart threw for 143 yards and one touchdown, while Ulysses Bentley IV rushed for 136 yards and one score.
Ole Miss also has wins over Furman, Middle Tennessee, Wake Forest, Georgia Southern, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Georgia, while losing to Kentucky, LSU, and Florida. The Ole Miss offense has scored 37.5 points per game with 343.6 passing yards and 177.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 13.9 points against per game this season. Jaxson Dart has completed 68.6% of his passes for 3,875 yards, 25 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while also rushing for 452 yards and three scores.
Why Ole Miss will beat Duke
- Ole Miss has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents.
- Duke has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has covered the spread in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Ole Miss' last 10 games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Duke's last five games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ole Miss ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (11.1).
- Ole Miss ranks 2nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (5.0).
- Duke ranks 126th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (96.5).
- Duke ranks T121st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (38.5).
Duke vs Ole Miss Prediction
Duke comes into this matchup after having a great regular season, but they are missing their starting quarterback and running back in this game. The Blue Devils definitely took advantage of an easy schedule, as they did not beat a ranked team this year. Ole Miss is also dealing with some opt outs, but Dart is expected to play. Lane Kiffin has made it known that he feels they should have been included in the CFP, so I think he is going to run up the score and prove a point against an overachieving Duke team. Take Ole Miss to win big here.
David’s Pick Ole Miss -17
AUTHOR: David Racey
