Utah State vs Boise State Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Boise State (3-1) vs Utah State (1-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Albertsons Stadium)

Betting Odds: Boise State -25.5 / Utah State +25.5 --- Over/Under: 62.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Utah State Aggies and the Boise State Broncos meet Saturday in college football action from Albertsons Stadium. Here’s a Utah State vs Boise State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Utah State vs Boise State pick. We will examine:

The Utah State Aggies' recent form and player performance

The Boise State Broncos' recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos

Recent betting trends in games played between Utah State vs Boise State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Utah State vs Boise State game

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

This year the Aggies opened up versus Robert Morris and took a pretty easy win 36-14. Game two was a blowout loss 48-0 versus USC, however. Utah State fell into the loss column again on September 14 versus Utah, dropping it 38-21.

In game four versus Temple on September 21, Utah State failed to find their groove once again. Despite a 21-17 halftime edge, the Aggies would eventually lose 45-29. QB Spencer Petras logged 293 yards, two scores, and a pick. Tops in rushing was Rahsul Faison with 148 yards and a TD.

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

Over on the Boise State side, they powered out an opener win over Georgia Southern 56-45. Game two was a tall order versus Oregon and an eventual 37-34 road defeat. Boise State would get back into the win column 56-14 over Portland State, though.

Last weekend versus Washington State, the Broncos finished off strong with 21 fourth-quarter points during a 45-24 victory. QB Maddux Madsen had 184 yards, two TDs, and an interception, but Ashton Jeanty did most of the work on 259 rush yards and four scores from 26 totes.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

  • The favorite has won each of Boise State's last 11 games.
  • Utah State has lost 12 of its last 13 games against AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in each of the last seven games between Utah State and Boise State.
  • Utah State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has covered the spread in three of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Boise State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Boise State's last six games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Utah State's last four road games in October has gone UNDER the total points line.

Utah State vs Boise State Prediction

I’m staying with Boise State, even though the line's pretty thick. The Broncos were great on the ground in their win over Washington State, generating 276 rush yards to help with 8.1 yards per play and 21 first downs. Boise State did give up 327 pass yards against just 184 through the air themselves, but they kept the Cougars pretty well contained until the final quarter.

As for Utah State, they played a pretty miserable game versus a struggling Temple team in their last outing. The Aggies gave up 451 yards of offense (271 passing), 20 first downs, and 10-of-16 third-down conversions. Boise State shouldn’t have too many issues moving the ball this weekend.

Andrew’s Pick Boise State Broncos -25.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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