Memphis vs Navy Prediction College Football Picks 9/21/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Memphis Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Navy Midshipmen

Recent betting trends in games played between Memphis and Navy

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Memphis vs Navy game

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

Memphis opened up its 2024 season versus North Alabama. The Tigers rolled in that one, cruising to a 40-0 blowout victory. In game two versus Troy, Memphis notched another sizable win. This one was a 38-17 result to carry the Tigers to 2-0.

Last Saturday versus Florida State, the Tigers were up 13-3 going into the second half. Memphis had some bumps along the way from there but still won 20-12. QB Seth Henigan finished with 272 yards, two TDs, and a pick. Anthony Landphere logged five catches for 66 yards and a score.

Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview

Over on the Navy side, they opened up the year with a game versus Bucknell. The Midshipmen scored 22 points in the second quarter alone during a 49-21 win. QB Blake Horvath posted 108 yards, two scores, and a pick. Daba Fofana led the rush on 82 yards and a TD off eight totes.

In game two versus Temple, Navy bagged another big win. The Midshipmen outscored the Owls 15-8 in the second half during a 38-11 result. Horvath had 112 yards and a score but did most of his damage on the ground with 15 carries for 122 yards and three scores.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

• Navy has won each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
• Navy has covered the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

• Memphis has won each of its last 14 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Navy has lost each of its last five games at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium when playing with a rest advantage.
• Memphis has covered the spread in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Navy has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games in September.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Memphis' last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Navy's last three games in September has gone OVER the total points line.

Memphis vs Navy Prediction

I’ll probably just stick with Memphis. The Tigers weren’t perfect against Florida State last weekend but still pulled off a nice road win. Memphis’ defense was pretty darn good overall with 238 yards allowed (201 passing), 11 first downs, three takeaways, and a 2-of-12 clip allowed on third downs. It was the Tigers’ lowest-scoring outing of the year so far, though—for whatever that’s worth.

As for Navy, they’ve got a couple of solid wins in the books thus far and had an extra week to prep for this game. In the Temple matchup, the Midshipmen had a nice offensive day with 409 yards (297 rushing) and 17 first downs. It’s not going to be quite so easy to move the ball against the Tigers, however.