UCLA vs Boise State Prediction - College Football Picks 12/16/23

Boise State Broncos (8-5) vs UCLA Bruins (7-5)

Game Info: Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 7:30 pm (SoFi Stadium)

Betting Odds: Boise State Broncos +4.5 -- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UCLA Bruins will play the Boise State Broncos on Saturday night in the Starco Brands LA Bowl at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. UCLA has lost three of their last four games, while Boise State comes into this game on a four game winning streak. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the UCLA vs Boise State prediction. 

UCLA Preview

The UCLA Bruins are 7-5 (4-5) this year and they finished tied for seventh in the PAC-12 standings. UCLA started the season with a 4-1 record, but they finished the season by going 3-4. The Bruins finished the year by going: Loss vs Cal, Win @ USC, Loss vs ASU, and Loss @ Arizona. The offense really struggled to finish the season, as they scored 10 points or fewer in three of their last four games. The UCLA offense is averaging 25.8 points per game with 229.1 passing yards per game and 191.1 rushing yards per game. Ethan Garbers (questionable) has thrown for 984 yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Bruins this season. Carson Steele (questionable) has rushed for 847 yards and six scores, while Logan Loya has caught 58 passes for 650 yards and five touchdowns. The UCLA defense is giving up 18.1 points against per game this year. 

Boise State Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 8-5 (6-2) this season and they finished tied for first in the Mountain West standings. The Broncos defeated UNLV by a score of 44-20 in the Mountain West Title game. Boise State finished the season by winning four games in a row and they scored 44, 27, 45, and 42 points in those games. The Broncos two conference losses came against Fresno State and Colorado State by a combined eight points. The Boise State offense is scoring 32.9 points per game with 229.3 passing yards per game and 214.8 rushing yards per game. The Boise State quarterback situation is not great, as Taylen Green is transferring and Maddux Madsen is out with an injury. Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 1,262 yards and 14 scores, while Eric McAlister has caught 47 passes for 873 yards and five touchdowns. The Boise State defense is allowing 24.8 points against per game this season. 

Boise State Broncos Team Facts

  • Boise State has won four of its last six matches as an underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in seven of Boise State's last eight games.
  • Boise State has lost the first half in each of its last three games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference.
  • Six of Boise State's last eight games in December have gone UNDER the total points line.

UCLA Bruins Team Facts

  • UCLA has lost each of its last three December games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UCLA has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UCLA has won the first half in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
  • Each of UCLA's last six games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

UCLA vs Boise State Betting Prediction

Boise State comes into this game with a ton of momentum, after finishing the season strong with a Conference Championship, but they have a major question mark at quarterback for this game. UCLA limped to the finish line this season, but they still have a lot of talent on that team. The Bruins have the edge at the quarterback position and while I really like this Boise State team, I am going to take UCLA here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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