Oklahoma State vs Texas Prediction - College Football Picks 12/2/23

Texas Preview

The Texas Longhorns are 11-1 (8-1) this season after they defeated Texas Tech by a score of 57-7 in their last game. Texas led 10-7 at the end of the first quarter and they scored the next 47 points in the blowout win. The Longhorns out gained Texas Tech by a total of 528-198 and forced three turnovers in the game. Texas’ lone loss so far this year came against Oklahoma by a score of 34-30. The Texas offense is scoring 34.9 points per game with 272.1 passing yards per game and 188.3 rushing yards per game, while going 36.1% on third downs. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 2,709 yards, 17 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Longhorns this year. CJ Baxter (questionable) has rushed for 552 yards and three touchdowns, while Xavier Worthy has caught 67 passes for 883 yards and five scores. The Texas defense is giving up 17.3 points against per game this season. 

Texas Longhorns Team Facts

• Texas has won each of its last 13 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Texas has covered the spread in each of its last three December games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Texas has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
• Seven of Texas' last eight games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Team Facts

• Oklahoma State has won each of its last four games as an underdog.
• Oklahoma State has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against Texas.
• Nine of Oklahoma State's last 10 games in December have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Texas are one of only 14 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ((6-0)).
• Texas rank 22nd among FBS teams for points per game this season (35.1).

Oklahoma State vs Texas Betting Prediction 

Texas comes into this matchup looking to make a huge statement to the CFP Committee, as they are currently ranked #7. The Longhorns are about a two touchdown favorite in this game, so they really need to run up the score to make that statement. Texas looked great last week against Texas Tech, but they struggled more than they should have in their previous three games against Iowa State, TCU, and Kansas State. Oklahoma State barely got by BYU at home last week and they lost by 42 points against UCF three games ago. The Cowboys are overmatched in this game, but they have shown the ability to play well against ranked opponents, as they defeated #23 Kansas and #9 Oklahoma. I think Texas is going to win this game, but I am taking the points with Oklahoma State. Texas has had plenty of issues this season holding leads and I think the Cowboys are scrappy enough to keep it close.