South Alabama at Texas State Prediction - College Football Picks 11/25/23

Texas State Bobcats (6-5) vs South Alabama Jaguars (6-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium)

Betting Odds: Texas State Bobcats +6 -- Over/Under: 58 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The South Alabama Jaguars will head down to San Marcos to face the Texas State Bobcats in Sun Belt play this weekend from Bobcat Stadium on the NFL Network. Here is our South Alabama at Texas State Prediction.

South Alabama Jaguars Preview

South Alabama moved to 6-5 after defeating Marshall in Mobile, 28-0. The Jaguars silenced the Thundering Herd through four quarters, and they’ll look to close the season strong here. The SALA offense is scoring 29.7 ppg, while passing for 271.9 ypg, rushing for 176.1 ypg, and converting 48.9% of their third downs.

SALA Player Notes

Carter Bradley starts behind center for South Alabama, and after passing for 176 yards and two scores, he’s thrown for 2,477 yards, with 17 touchdowns to seven interceptions for the season. 

• Senior back La’Damian Webb has scored in ten straight games, and after hitting the 100-yard mark in consecutive games, he leads SALA in rushing yards (1,007). 

• Junior wideout Caullin Lacy has caught seven passes or more in six straight games, and he leads the Jags in receptions (80) and (1,222) receiving yards.

• The South Alabama defense is allowing 19.1 points per game.

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Texas State Bobcats Preview

Texas State fell to 6-5 after losing to Arkansas State in Jonesboro, 77-31. The Bobcats were blitzed through four quarters of punishment, and they’ll look to show some life here in their home finale. The Texas St. offense is scoring 34.5 ppg, while passing for 276.2 ypg, rushing for 198.2 ypg, and converting 44.8% of their third downs.

Texas State Player Notes

TJ Finley starts at quarterback for Texas State, and after passing for a season-high 366 yards and three scores, he’s thrown for 2,820 yards with 21 touchdowns to seven interceptions for the season. 

• Sophomore back Ismail Mahdi found the endzone in the loss to Arkansas State, and he leads the Bobcats in rushing with 1,112 yards on 176 touches.

• Utah Tech transfer Joey Hobert has caught a touchdown pass in six of the last seven games, and he leads the team in receptions (71) and receiving yards (847).

• The TXST defense has allowed 34.5 points per game.


South Alabama vs Texas State Trends

SALA is 4-7 against the spread, with a 5-6 O/U record. 

TXST is 5-6 ATS, with a 4-6-1 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Texas State’s loss to Arkansas State tells the story of how the Bobcats season has gone, as they’ve been able to score, but they’ve had issues stopping their opponents, and we may see that reflected on the scoreboard once again here. South Alabama impressively shut out Marshall last week, and there’s also a good chance that momentum carries over here. Let’s back the Over here, and give the favorites a look on the margin.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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