Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction - College Football Picks 11/25/23

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The Pitt Panthers and Duke Blue Devils face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Wallace Wade Stadium. Check out our Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction.

Is Pitt Football in a Bad Spot?

If this year was any indication, the Pitt Football program might not be in a very good spot. Heading into this game they have only three wins, and the offense at times hasn’t been good enough. Pitt won the last game but in the previous two, they had only scored 20 points total. In the last game running back, Rodney Hammond Jr had a strong game finishing with 15 carries for 145 yards and a touchdown. Pitt on the season is averaging 20.3 points while their defense is giving up 27.1 points per game. 

Pitt Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh has won 10 of its last 11 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Pittsburgh has covered the spread in each of its last four games against Duke at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium.
  • Four of Pittsburgh's last five November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

More College Football Picks: Maryland vs Rutgers Prediction!

Duke Not the Same Without Riley Leonard

This Duke team is not the same without quarterback Riley Leonard. With Leonard this team is one that probably has nine wins already. Without him though they currently sit with a 6-5 record. Each of the last two games, Duke just hasn’t been able to make the winning plays late. Duke outscored Virginia 14-6 in the 4th quarter, but it wasn’t enough as they lost by three points. Grayson Loftis completed 26 of his 45 passes for 278 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Duke is averaging 27.5 points while their defense is giving up 19.8 points per game. 

Duke Betting Trends

  • Duke has won each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium.
  • Duke has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a favorite.
  • Seven of Duke's last eight November games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Shane’s Free Pick

Duke does probably win this game, but they just aren’t a team that I trust. In the last game against Virginia, Duke gave up 30 points and that is going to be an issue again here. Pitt is averaging only 20.3 points per game, but they are going to score at least 30 points here and that is going to be the difference here as Pitt is going to keep this game close. Back Pitt against the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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