Navy vs SMU Prediction - College Football Picks 11/25/23

SMU Mustangs (9-2) vs Navy Midshipmen (5-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 12:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

Betting Odds: SMU Mustangs -20 -- Over/Under: 47 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Navy Midshipmen and SMU Mustangs face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at the Gerald J Ford Stadium. Here you can read our Navy vs SMU Prediction.

Navy Becomes Bowl Eligible With a Win

Navy comes into this game with a 5-5 record and if they can win this game, they will become bowl eligible. Navy’s last game came against East Carolina, and they were able to secure the 10-0 victory. They turned over Alex Finn twice and that was one of the biggest reasons they were able to secure the victory. Navy on the season is averaging 18.7 points while their defense is giving up 19.3 points per game. The offense hasn’t been great, but the defense is ranked 22nd. In this game the defense is going to need to step up in a big way.

Navy Betting Trends

Navy has won four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Navy has covered the spread in eight of its last nine road games against conference opponents.

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SMU Looks for Eighth Straight Win

SMU has won seven straight games and they picked up another big victory over Memphis in the last game. SMU scored 38 points against Memphis and they ended up winning by four points. Preston Stone completed 15 of his 23 passes for 286 yards, two touchdowns. SMU is an elite offensive team and they are averaging 40.3 points per game. The defense also doesn’t get enough attention as they are giving up 18 points per game. The offense is ranked 6th while the defense is ranked 15th.

SMU Betting Trends

SMU has won each of its last eight games against conference opponents.
The home team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between Navy and SMU.
SMU has won the first quarter in nine of its last 11 home games against conference opponents.
SMU has won the first half in 10 of its last 12 home games against conference opponents.
Each of SMU's last four home games against Navy have gone OVER the total points line.

Shane’’s Free Pick

This game is going to be lower scoring. SMU’s defense is giving up 18 points per game and they are going to really lockdown here. Navy in the last game even though they won only scored 10 points, and they aren’t going to exactly run up the score here. I do expect Navy’s defense is going to step up though, and SMU won’t have as much offensive success as they had the rest of the season. Back the under to cash here.