Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction - College Football Picks 11/25/23

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The Kentucky Wildcats and Louisville Cardinals face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium. This is our Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction.

Kentucky Looks to End Losing Streak

Kentucky comes into this game with a 6-5 record overall but they have lost two games in a row. In the last game against South Carolina, Kentucky scored only 14 points and they ended up losing by three points. Devin Leary completed 17 of his 34 passes for 171 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Kentucky on the season is averaging 27.7 points while their defense is giving up 24.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 66th and they are going to need the offense to be really good here. 

Kentucky Betting Trends

  • Kentucky has lost each of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog.
  • Kentucky has won the first half in each of its last three games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Kentucky has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against opponents from the Atla

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Louisville Can’t Overlook this Game

Louisville knows they will be playing in the ACC Championship game next week but they can’t overlook this game, or this is a game they will lose. In the last game against Miami (FL), the defense gave up 31 points and that led to the victory. Jack Plummer completed 24 of his 37 passes for 308 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Louisville on the season is averaging 33.2 points while their defense is giving up 18.4 points per game. In this game the defense is going to need to be good. 

Louisville Betting Trends

  • Louisville has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
  • Louisville has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.
  • Louisville has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
  • Louisville has lost the first half in eight of its last 10 games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.
  • Each of Louisville's last four games against non-conference opponents at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Shane’s Free Pick

It’s a rival game, and I expect Kentucky is going to find success here. This does feel like a look ahead spot for Louisville as they play for the ACC Title next week. Kentucky’s offense is averaging 27.7 points per game and they are going to find some success in this game with their offense. Louisville will still probably win, but it will only be by a few points. Back Kentucky against the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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