Fresno State at San Diego State Prediction - College Football Picks 11/25/23

San Diego State Aztecs (3-8) vs Fresno State Bulldogs (8-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 10:30 pm (Snapdragon Stadium)

Betting Odds: San Diego State Aztecs +6.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego State Aztecs will host the Fresno State Bulldogs for an in-state matchup this weekend from Snapdragon Stadium on FS1. Fresno & SDSU have faced off just over 60 times for the Old Oil Can, and the Bulldogs hold the all-time series lead, 30-27-4. Make sure to read our Fresno State vs San Diego State Prediction.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

Fresno State fell to 8-3 after losing to New Mexico at home, 25-17. The Bulldogs squandered in the second half, and they’ll look to avoid a third straight loss this weekend. The Fresno St. offense is scoring 31.0 ppg, while passing for 297.7 ypg, rushing for 101.3 ypg, and converting 50.4% of their third downs.

Fresno Player Notes

Mikey Keene starts at quarterback for Fresno State, and after struggling with New Mexico, he’s up to 2,406 passing yards with 21 touchdowns to eight interceptions thru ten starts. 

• Junior back Malik Sherrod found the endzone in the loss to UNM, and he’s up to 739 yards on 137 carries for the season. 

• Senior wideout Erik Brooks leads Fresno in receptions (49) and receiving yards (641). 

• The Fresno defense has allowed 23..8 points per game.

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San Diego State Aztecs Preview

San Diego State moved to 3-8 after losing to San Jose State on the road, 24-13. The Aztecs couldn’t keep up with the Spartans down the stretch, and they’ll attempt to bounce back during in-state action here. The San Diego St. offense is scoring 19.4 ppg, while passing for 170.2 ypg, rushing for 147.7 ypg, and converting 34.5% of their third downs.

SDSU Player Notes

Jaylen Mayden starts behind center for SDSU, and after struggling against SJSU last weekend, he’s up to 1,842 yards with nine touchdowns and nine interceptions thru eleven games.

• Junior back Jaylon Armstread gained a season-high 134 yards in the loss to San Jose State, and he’s up to 407 yards on 88 carries for the season. 

• Hometown product Mekhi Shaw leads the team in receiving yards (359), on 26 catches.

• The SDSU defense has allowed 27.5 points per game.

Fresno State vs San Diego State Trends

FRES is 4-7 against the spread, with a 6-4-1 O/U record. 

SDSU is 6-5 ATS, with a 4-$ over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

There will be no bowl bid on the line for San Diego State, but they will have something to play for in their season finale, as it will not only serve as Senior Day, but it will also serve as the final game of Brady Hoke’s time at the helm. The Aztecs have absorbed multiple issues at the quarterback since the pandemic, so it’s been hard for them to break thru in the growlingly competitive Mountain West, but this weekend I believe Brady’s bunch will come out motivated. Fresno State is also trending in the wrong direction at the wrong time, and after losing to New Mexico, SDSU may be able to hang around with them this weekend. Spot San Diego State the points for this in-state battle, and back it with the Over in case Fresno State decides to wake up. 

Corey’s Pick San Diego State to Cover

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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