Florida State vs Florida Prediction - College Football Picks 11/25/23

Florida Gators (5-6) vs Florida State Seminoles (11-0)

Game Info: Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)

Betting Odds: Florida Gators +6.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Florida State Seminoles will play the Florida Gators in a non-conference game on Saturday night at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida. Florida State comes into this matchup undefeated, while Florida has lost four games in a row. Let's have a look at our Florida State vs Florida Prediction.

Florida State Preview

The Florida State Seminoles are 11-0 (8-0) this year after they defeated North Alabama by a score of 58-13 in their last game. Florida State trailed 13-0 in the second quarter, but they scored 58 straight points for the win. The Seminoles out gained North Alabama by a total of 521-226 and forced two turnovers in the game. Florida State did lose Jordan Travis to injury, which is a huge loss in their pursuit of a National Championship. The FSU offense is scoring 39.5 points per game with 289.4 passing yards per game and 162.3 rushing yards per game, while going 41.4% on third downs. Tate Rodemaker has thrown for 376 yards and five touchdowns for the Seminoles this season. Trey Benson has rushed for 743 yards and 11 scores, while Keon Coleman has caught 45 passes for 615 yards and 11 touchdowns. The Florida State defense is allowing 16.9 points against per game this year. 

Florida Preview

The Florida Gators are 5-6 (3-5) this season after they lost to Missouri by a score of 33-31 last week. Florida trailed 13-7 at halftime, but they led 31-30 with 1:36 left, before allowing a game winning field goal. The Gators were out gained by a total of 508-500 and turned the ball over two times in the loss. Florida has also lost to LSU, Arkansas, and Georgia during this four game losing streak. The Florida offense is averaging 29.7 points per game with 275 passing yards per game and 149.8 rushing yards per game, while going 36.1% on third downs. Max Brown has thrown for 106 yards for the Gators this year. Montrell Johnson Jr. has rushed for 710 yards and four touchdowns, while Ricky Pearsall has caught 64 passes for 948 yards and four scores. The Florida defense is giving up 27.9 points against per game this season.

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Florida Gators Team Facts

  • Florida has won 17 of its last 18 games against non-conference opponents at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
  • Florida has covered the spread in each of its last five games against top-10 AP-ranked teams at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
  • Florida has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against non-conference opponents at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
  • Florida has won the first half in 12 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
  • Ten of Florida's last 11 games as an underdog against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Florida State Seminoles Team Facts

  • Florida State has won each of its last 17 games.
  • Florida State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Each of Florida State's last six November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Florida State rank 12th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (16.9).
  • The Florida State are one of only 18 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ([z-0]).

Pick

Florida State comes into this game with a perfect record, and they had their sights set on a CFP appearance, but the injury to Travis changes a lot of that. Jordan Travis is one of the best quarterbacks in the country, so his loss will be huge for FSU. Florida is also dealing with a backup quarterback, so we could see a lot of rushing plays in this game. Both teams have playmakers at the skill positions, but which quarterback can get them the ball? In a game with a ton of uncertainty, I am going to take the points with Florida. 

David’s Pick Florida +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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