Alabama vs Auburn Prediction - College Football Picks 11/25/23

Auburn Tigers (6-5) vs Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1)

Game Info: Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Jordan-Hare Stadium)

Betting Odds: Auburn Tigers +14.5 -- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Alabama Crimson Tide will play the Auburn Tigers in a SEC game on Saturday afternoon at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama. Alabama is undefeated in SEC play, while Auburn is coming off of a terrible home loss to New Mexico State last week. Check out our Alabama vs Auburn Prediction.

Alabama Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 10-1 (7-0) this year after they defeated Chattanooga by a score of 66-10 in their last game. Alabama led 38-7 at halftime and they cruised to the easy victory in the second half. The Crimson Tide out gained Chattanooga by a total of 574-233 and went 6-9 on third down in the game. Alabama’s only loss this season came against Texas by a score of 34-24 in their second game. The Crimson Tide offense is scoring 36.4 points per game with 229 passing yards per game and 176.3 rushing yards per game, while going 50% on third downs this season. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 2,267 yards, 19 touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Crimson Tide this season. Jase McClellan has rushed for 737 yards and six touchdowns, while Jermaine Burton has caught 29 passes for 642 yards and six scores. The Alabama defense is giving up 17.4 points against per game this season.

Auburn Preview

The Auburn Tigers are 6-5 (3-4) this season after they lost to New Mexico State by a score of 31-10 last week. Auburn tied the game at seven in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 17 points to allow NMSU to pull away. The Tigers were out gained by a total of 414-213 and went 2-10 on third down in the loss. Auburn had won their previous three games against Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, and Arkansas. The Auburn offense is averaging 27.5 points per game with 162.9 passing yards per game and 194.3 rushing yards per game, while going 33.8% on third downs this year. Payton Thorne has rushed for 1,580 yards, 14 touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Tigers this season. Jarquez Hunter has rushed for 772 yards and seven scores, while Rivaldo Fairweather has caught 33 passes for 349 yards and six touchdowns. The Auburn defense is allowing 21.5 points against per game this year.

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Auburn Tigers Team Facts

  • Auburn has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Auburn has covered the spread in five of its last six November home games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Auburn has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
  • Each of Auburn's last four games against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Alabama Crimson Tide Team Facts

  • Alabama has won each of its last nine games.
  • Alabama has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite.
  • Each of Alabama's last four games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama rank 16th among FBS teams for points per game this season (36.5).

Pick

Auburn was playing some solid football before last week, but they looked terrible in their 21-point loss to New Mexico State. Alabama is one of the best teams in the country and they are already locked into the SEC Title game, but they should be focused for this rivalry game. It is tough to know which Auburn team is going to show up, but I assume last week’s performance was due to looking ahead to this game. I am sure the Tigers will play better this week, but Alabama is rolling right now. Take the Crimson Tide to win by a few scores. 

David’s Pick Alabama -14.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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