Penn State vs Michigan State Prediction - College Football Picks 11/24/23

Michigan State Spartans (4-7) vs Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2)

Game Info: Friday, November 24, 2023 at 7:30 pm (Ford Field)

Betting Odds: Michigan State Spartans +10.5 -- Over/Under: 42.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan State Spartans face off on Friday in a college football showdown at Ford Field. Take a look at our Penn State vs Michigan State Prediction.

Penn State Still Can’t Beat the Elite Teams

At some point James Franklin has to get Penn State to beat the elite teams, but it’s another year where that isn’t the case. Against Ohio State and Michigan, Penn State’s offense couldn’t get anything going. Penn State’s last game came against Rutgers, and they were defeated 27-6. Even though Penn State won, Drew Allar really struggled and he finished with only 79 yards. Beau Pribula finished with eight carries for 71 yards and a touchdown. Penn State on the season is averaging 36.7 points while their defense is giving up 12.5 points per game. 

Penn State Betting Trends

  • Penn State has won 27 of its last 28 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last eight November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Six of Penn State's last seven games at neutral venues have gone OVER the total points line.

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Nightmare Season is Almost Over for Michigan State

Michigan State has had about everything go wrong this season, including the firing of thier coach earlier in the season. Michigan State has only four win this season, but they are coming off a victory in the last game. Michigan State scored 10 points in the 4th quarter and that was enough for the victory. Quarterback Katin Houser completed 26 of his 41 passes for 245 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. The turnovers were an issue and that is going to need to be better here. The Spartans are averaging 17.4 points while their defense is giving up 27.1 points per game. 

Michigan State Betting Trends

  • Michigan State has won five of its last six games as an underdog at neutral venues.
  • Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Each of Michigan State's last four November games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Shane’s Free Pick

MIchigan State is coming off a win, but this is still a team that is averaging only 17.4 points per game. Houser had issues with the turnovers in the last game and the turnovers are going to really hurt them again in this game. Penn State is averaging 36.7 points per game and they are going to have no issue running up the score against the Michigan State defense. This is going to be a blowout victory by Penn State. Back Penn State against the spread. 

Shane’s Pick Penn State -10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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