Air Force vs Boise State Prediction - College Football Picks 11/24/23

Boise State Broncos (6-5) vs Air Force Falcons (8-3)

Game Info: Friday, November 24, 2023 at 4:00 pm (Albertsons Stadium)

Betting Odds: Boise State Broncos -7.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Air Force Falcons will play the Boise State Broncos in a Mountain West game on Friday afternoon at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Air Force has lost three games in a row, while Boise State has won three of their last four. Check out our Air Force vs Boise State Prediction.

Air Force Preview

The Air Force Falcons are 8-3 (5-2) this year after they lost to UNLV by a score of 31-27 last week. Air Force led 27-14 at the half, but they were out scored 17-0 in the second half for the loss. The Falcons were out gained by a total of 465-404 and went 3-14 on third down in the game. Air Force won their first eight games of the season, but they have lost three straight to Army, Hawaii, and UNLV. The Air Force offense is scoring 28.4 points per game with 84.5 passing yards per game and 282.1 rushing yards per game, while going 46.8% on third downs. Jensen Jones has thrown for 160 yards and one interception for the Falcons this season. Air Force is missing their top two leading rushers, leading receiver, and starting quarterback in this game. John Lee Eldridge III has rushed for 515 yards and six scores, while Cade Harris has caught three passes for 147 yards and one touchdown. The Air Force defense is allowing 17.1 points against per game this season. 

Boise State Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 6-5 (5-2) this season after they defeated Utah State by a score of 45-10 in their last game. Boise State trailed 10-0 in the second quarter, but they scored the final 45 points in the game for the win. The Broncos out gained Utah State by a total of 445-373 and forced four turnovers in the game. Boise State’s two conference losses came against Fresno State and Colorado State by a combined eight points. The Boise State offense is averaging 32.5 points per game with 229.7 passing yards per game and 210.1 rushing yards per game, while going 45.9% on third downs. Taylen Green has thrown for 1,298 yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Broncos this season. Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 1,006 yards and 12 scores, while Eric McAlister has caught 47 passes for 873 yards and five touchdowns. The Boise State defense is giving up 25.8 points against per game this year.

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Boise State Broncos Team Facts

  • Boise State has won nine of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
  • Boise State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents at Albertsons Stadium.
  • Boise State has won the first half in 12 of its last 16 home games against conference opponents.
  • Four of Boise State's last five November games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Air Force Falcons Team Facts

  • The underdog has won each of Air Force's last three games.
  • Air Force has covered the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Four of Air Force's last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Air Force vs Boise State Prediction Breakdown

Air Force was having a great season and people were starting to talk about them going undefeated, but they have lost three games in a row and are dealing with a ton of injuries in this game. This game is massive in the Mountain West race, as Air Force, Boise State, and San Jose State are all tied for second with two losses. Boise State is only 6-5 on the season, but they have won three of their last four games and will be at home. Air Force is missing some of their best offensive players and I don’t see how they are going to stay in this game. I think Boise State is going to jump on them early and pull away for the double-digit win. Take the Broncos here. 

David’s Pick Boise State -7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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