Illinois vs Iowa Prediction - College Football Picks 11/18/23

Iowa Hawkeyes (8-2) vs Illinois Fighting Illini (5-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Kinnick Stadium)

Betting Odds: Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5 -- Over/Under: 31.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Illinois Fighting Illini will play the Iowa Hawkeyes in a Big Ten game on Saturday afternoon at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Illinois has won two games in a row and is trying to become bowl eligible, while Iowa is in the drivers seat of the Big Ten West. 

Illinois Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 5-5 (3-4) this season after they defeated Indiana by a score of 48-45 in overtime last week. Illinois was down 27-12 in the second quarter, but they fought back and got to overtime, where they were able to get the win. The Fighting Illini out gained Indiana by a total of 662-451 and both teams turned the ball over two times in the game. Illinois also has conference wins against Maryland and Minnesota. The Illinois offense is averaging 23.8 points per game with 261.2 passing yards per game and 134.5 rushing yards per game, while going 36.1% on third downs. Luke Altmyer is questionable for this game at quarterback, but John Paddock played last game. Paddock has thrown for 729 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception this year. Kaden Feagin (questionable) has rushed for 438 yards and two touchdowns, while Isaiah Williams has caught 68 passes for 893 yards and five scores. The Illinois defense is allowing 29.3 points against per game this year. 

Iowa Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes are 8-2 (5-2) this year after they defeated Rutgers by a score of 22-0 in their last game. Iowa scored three points in the first half, but they scored 19 points in the second half for the win. The Hawkeyes out gained Rutgers by a total of 402-127 and went 9-18 on third down in the game. Iowa has losses to Penn State and Minnesota, but it looks like they will be headed to the Big Ten Title game. The Iowa offense is scoring 18.8 points per game with 122 passing yards per game and 121 rushing yards per game, while going 30% on third downs. Deacon Hill has thrown for 715 yards, four touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Hawkeyes this season. Leshon Williams has rushed for 614 yards and one touchdown, while Nico Ragaini has caught 19 passes for 167 yards. The Iowa defense is giving up 12.3 points against per game this season.

Iowa Hawkeyes Team Facts

  • Iowa has won 16 of its last 17 games in November.
  • Iowa has covered the spread in four of its last five games at Kinnick Stadium.
  • Iowa has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents at Kinnick Stadium.
  • Each of Iowa's last five games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Illinois Fighting Illini Team Facts

  • Illinois has won each of its last four November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Illinois has covered the spread in each of its last nine November games as a road underdog.
  • Five of Illinois' last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Pick

Iowa continues to win games in a very ugly fashion, but they don’t seem to mind, as they are now 8-2. The Hawkeyes have been very bad on offense this season, but they did manage to gain over 400 yards last week against Rutgers. The Iowa defense is one of the best in the country and they will be at home for this matchup. Illinois has won two games in a row, but they have been inconsistent this year. I do not like the Iowa offense, but I have to take Iowa here because of the defense. The Hawkeyes have been incredible at shutting teams down and I am going to take them at home here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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