USF vs UTSA Prediction - College Football Picks 11/17/23

UTSA Roadrunners (7-3) vs USF Bulls (5-5)

Game Info: Friday, November 17, 2023 at 9:00 pm (Alamodome)

Betting Odds: UTSA Roadrunners -16.5 -- Over/Under: 66.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The South Florida Bulls will play the UTSA Roadrunners on Friday night at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. South Florida has won two of their last three games, while UTSA is undefeated in conference play so far this year. 

South Florida Preview

The South Florida Bulls are 5-5 (3-3) this season after they defeated Temple by a score of 27-23 in their last game. South Florida led 17-0 in the first quarter and they were barely able to hang on for the win in the fourth. The Bulls out gained Temple by a total of 451-389 and forced four turnovers in the game. South Florida also has conference wins against Rice and Navy this year. The Bulls offense is scoring 29.9 points per game with 264.6 passing yards per game and 188.8 rushing yards per game, while going 38% on third downs. Byrum Brown has thrown for 2,538 yards, 18 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while rushing for 659 yards and nine scores. Nay’Quan Wright has rushed for 690 yards and six touchdowns, while Sean Atkins has caught 69 passes for 808 yards and four touchdowns. The USF defense is allowing 35.6 points against per game this year. 

UTSA Preview

The UTSA Roadrunners are 7-3 (6-0) this year after they defeated Rice by a score of 34-14 in their last game. UTSA led 10-7 at halftime and they were able to score the first 24 points in the second half to pull away. The Roadrunners out gained Rice by a total of 381-229 and forced them to go 2-12 on third downs. UTSA is undefeated in conference play, but they have lost to Houston, Army, and Tennessee so far this season. The UTSA offense is averaging 31.5 points per game with 238 passing yards per game and 169.7 rushing yards per game, while going 46.9% on third downs. Frank Harris has thrown for 1,897 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Roadrunners this season. Kevorian Barnes has rushed for 606 yards and six scores, while Joshua Cephus has caught 67 passes for 803 yards and eight touchdowns. The UTSA defense is giving up 24.6 points against per game this season.

UTSA Roadrunners Team Facts

  • UTSA has won each of its last 17 games against conference opponents at Alamodome.
  • UTSA has covered the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Alamodome.
  • UTSA has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against conference opponents.
  • Four of UTSA's last five games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

South Florida Bulls Team Facts

  • South Florida has lost 21 of its last 22 games in November.
  • South Florida has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.
  • South Florida has lost the first half in 13 of its last 17 games against conference opponents.
  • Seven of South Florida's last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.


UTSA comes into this matchup trying to stay undefeated in conference play and keep pace with Tulane and SMU, but they will play a decent South Florida team in this matchup. The Bulls are 5-5 this season, but their defense has been an issue this year. South Florida allowed 59 points to Memphis, 56 points to FAU, and 56 points to UAB in just their last five games. The South Florida offense can score, but they cannot keep pace when the defense is giving up 50+ points. UTSA has a very good offense and should find plenty of success in this game, but their defense is only allowing 24.6 points against per game. I think we are going to see a ton of points in this game and it wouldn’t surprise me to see UTSA hit the 50-point mark. Take the over here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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