Troy vs ULM Prediction - College Football Picks 11/11/23

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-7) vs Troy Trojans (7-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 2:00 pm (JPS Field at James L. Malone Stadium)

Betting Odds: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +21.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Troy Trojans will play the UL-Monroe Warhawks in a Sun Belt game on Saturday afternoon at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Louisiana. Troy has only lost one conference game, while UL-Monroe is still looking for their first Sun Belt win of the season.

Troy Preview

The Troy Trojans are 7-2 (4-1) this season after they defeated South Alabama by a score of 28-10 last week. Troy trailed 7-0 at the end of the first quarter, but they scored 28 of the next 31 points for the win. The Trojans out gained South Alabama by a total of 400-252 and held them to 0-10 on third downs. Troy’s two losses this season have come against Kansas State and James Madison. The Troy offense is averaging 27.2 points per game with 276 passing yards per game and 161.1 rushing yards per game, while going 40.2% on third downs. Gunnar Watson has thrown for 2,435 yards, 17 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Trojans this season. Kimani Vidal has rushed for 1,119 yards and seven scores, while Jabre Barber has caught 41 passes for 622 yards and three touchdowns. The Troy defense is allowing 16.1 points against per game this season.

UL-Monroe Preview

The UL-Monroe Warhawks are 2-7 (0-6) this year after they lost to Southern Miss by a score of 24-7 in their last game. UL-Monroe trailed 17-0 in the first quarter and only managed to score one touchdown in the loss. The Warhawks were out gained by a total of 444-260 and turned the ball over four times in the game. UL-Monroe’s two wins this year came against Army and Lamar. The UL-Monroe offense is scoring 18.9 points per game with 189.2 passing yards per game and 149.3 rushing yards per game, while going 29.5% on third downs. Jiya Wright has thrown for 881 yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Warhawks this season. Hunter Smith has rushed for 417 yards and three touchdowns, while Tyrone Howell has caught 40 passes for 423 yards and six scores. The ULM defense is giving up 31.9 points against per game this year.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Team Facts

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last seven games.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November games at Malone Stadium.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
  • Five of Louisiana-Monroe's last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Troy Trojans Team Facts

  • Troy has won each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Troy has covered the spread in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
  • Troy has lost the first half in six of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
  • Each of Troy's last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pick

UL-Monroe is one of the worst teams in the FBS this season, as they just gave Southern Miss their first conference win of the year by 17 points. Troy is currently the second best team in the Sun Belt and they have been on a roll lately. The Trojans play very well on the defensive side of the football and should bottle up a bad ULM offense. Take Troy to win big here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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