San Diego State vs Colorado State Prediction - College Football Picks 11/11/23

Colorado State Rams (3-6) vs San Diego State Aztecs (3-6)

Game Info: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Canvas Stadium)

Betting Odds: Colorado State Rams -3.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego State Aztecs will play the Colorado State Rams in a Mountain West game on Saturday night at Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, Colorado. San Diego State only has one conference win so far this year, while Colorado State is also sitting at one win within the conference. 

San Diego State Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 3-6 (1-4) this season after they lost to Utah State by a score of 32-24 in overtime last week. San Diego State scored 10 straight points in the fourth to force overtime, but they couldn’t score in the second overtime period. The Aztecs were out gained by a total of 400-384 and turned the ball over one time in the loss. San Diego State’s lone conference win came against Hawaii by a score of 41-34. The San Diego State offense is scoring 20.1 points per game with 180.8 passing yards per game and 144.1 rushing yards per game, while going 33.1% on third downs. Jalen Mayden has thrown for 1,597 yards, nine touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Aztecs this year, while also rushing for 395 yards and three touchdowns. Kenan Christon has rushed for 292 yards, while Mekhi Shaw has caught 21 passes for 305 yards and two scores. The SDSU defense is giving up 28.6 points against per game this season.

Colorado State Preview

The Colorado State Rams are 3-6 (1-4) this year after they lost to Wyoming by a score of 24-15 in their last game. Colorado State trailed 10-7 at the half, but could only manage eight points in the second half. The Rams were out gained by a total of 334-274 and turned the ball over three times in the loss. Colorado State’s only conference win came against Boise State on a last second touchdown by a score of 31-30. The Colorado State offense is averaging 26.3 points per game with 319.1 passing yards per game and 72.7 rushing yards per game, while going 38.6% on third downs. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has thrown for 2,696 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions for the Rams this season. Vann Schield has rushed for 321 yards and three touchdowns, while Tory Horton has caught 77 passes for 848 yards and six scores. The Colorado State defense is allowing 32.1 points against per game this year.

Colorado State Rams Team Facts

  • Colorado State has lost nine of its last 10 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Colorado State has covered the spread in four of its last five games in November.
  • Each of Colorado State's last four games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

San Diego State Aztecs Team Facts

  • San Diego State has lost five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in 21 of its last 28 games against conference opponents.
  • Each of San Diego State's last four road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Pick

Both of these teams are looking for their second conference win of the season, but I think Colorado State has been the better team. Colorado State could have easily beaten UNLV a few games ago and they were right in their last two games against Wyoming and Air Force. The Rams have one of the better passing attacks in the entire country and I think they will find success here. San Diego State’s offense is not good and won’t be able to exploit the CSU defense like other teams have. Take Colorado State here. 

David’s Pick Colorado State -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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